Super Regionals complete.
New readers should consult a separate page that gives some general background information on the records, polls, RPI, ISR, PP, etc information included in the table below. (An "N" indicates a "national" seed.) As usual, the polls and data are from from Monday, 22 May 2000, when the regional pairings and seedings were announced. The PP is based on games through 5/21. Again, many thanks to Rick Rollins for the conference standings that make my "etc..." column and a separate analysis of performance grouped by conference possible, and to Boyd Nation for the pseudo-RPI and ISR information generated from Rick's database.
The average ISR for the field is 112.3,
plus or minus a standard deviation of 9.5.
The median ISR is 113.2.
The highest pseudo-RPI ranking without a bid was #29 Georgia (#7 in SEC).
Note: The NCAA identified the regions only by location, so the region numbering scheme is my own creation, reflecting the seeding of the associated super regional and identifying which regional has a top-8 nationally seeded team.
Super Regional Summary:
I order these results in almost the same way the NCAA does (they use 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3), reflecting the pairings in the CWS brackets.
Super Regional 1: U.LA-Lafayette 3 7 3 ==> meets 8
at So. Carolina 6 1 2
Super Regional 8: Nebraska 7 1 2
at Stanford 3 7 5 ==> meets 1
Super Regional 4: Mississippi St 4 4
at Clemson 11 9 ==> meets 5
Super Regional 5: San Jose St 5 2 3 ==> meets 4
at Houston 3 5 2
==========================
Super Regional 2: UCLA 2 8
at Louisiana St 8 14 ==> meets 7
Super Regional 7: Penn St 3 0
at Texas 7 10 ==> meets 2
Super Regional 3: So. California 7 6 ==> meets 6
at Georgia Tech 2 3
Super Regional 6: Miami 2 7 1
at Florida St 9 5 6 ==> meets 3
==========================
Complete Results:
Note: The regional names in square brackets were "officially" determined by Craig Gowens, now and forever the "Commissioner of the SWC". All series start on 26 May. The order here is by seed, not by future CWS pairing (which is the 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3 order used in NCAA listings).
NCAA Record Polls Boyd Nation
Seed Team Result W L T CB BA RPI ISR PP etc....
==== =============== ====== ======= == == === === == ===============
Region 1 [Atlantic I] - Columbia, SC
--------------------- ------------
N1 So. Carolina WW W 52-8 3 2 1 128 +4 SEC (#1 E1, champ)
2 Wake Forest WLWL 39-18-1 14 18 14 117 -4 ACC (#4)
4 Liberty LWL 35-21 . . 56 110 +2 Big South champ (#1)
3 Seton Hall LL 40-16 . . 35 108 -1 Big East (#3)
Region 1a [Bayou II] - Lafayette, LA
-------------------- -------------
2 U.LA-Lafayette WW W 42-17 . . 28 117 -1 Sun Belt (#2)
1 East Carolina WLWL 44-16 -- 24 13 117 +5 Colonial champ (#1t)
4 Marist LWL 32-17-2 . . 157 93 -3 Metro Atl. champ (#4)
3 McNeese St LL 39-18 . . 43 114 -2 Southland (#1t)
===> Super Regional 1: U.LA-Lafayette 3 7 3 ==> meets 8
at So. Carolina 6 1 2
==========================
Region 2 [Bayou I] - Baton Rouge, LA
------------------ ---------------
N1 Louisiana St WW W 43-17 7 7 2 125 0 SEC champ (#2 W1)
3 U.LA-Monroe WLWL 39-20 . . 79 112 0 Southland (#1t)
2 New Orleans LWL 37-23 . . 23 113 -2 Sun Belt (#1)
4 Jackson St LL 26-28 . . 212 88 +6 SWAC champ (E2)
Region 2a [Midwest II] - Oklahoma City, OK
---------------------- -----------------
1 UCLA WW W 35-24 22 -- 45 115 -1 Pac-10 (#1t)
2 Oklahoma WLWL 39-21 29 -- 20 119 +8 Big-12 (#3)
3 Oral Roberts LWL 48-13 30 -- 49 110 +3 Mid Cont. champ (#1)
4 Delaware LL 37-18 . . 87 100 -3 Am. East champ (#1)
===> Super Regional 2: UCLA 2 8
at Louisiana St 8 14 ==> meets 7
==========================
Region 3 [East II] - Atlanta, GA
------------------ -----------
N1 Georgia Tech WW W 47-14 1 1 4 123 0 ACC champ (#1)
3 Stetson WLWL 46-14 28 25 27 113 +1 Trans Am. champ (#3)
2 Auburn LWL 40-18 19 19 22 120 0 SEC (#5 W3)
4 Ga. Southern LL 38-21 . . 71 109 +2 Southern champ (#1t)
Region 3a [West I] - Fullerton, CA
------------------ ---------------
1 So. California WW W 38-18 16 13 12 123 +3 Pac-10 (#4)
2 CSU,Fullerton LWWL 36-19 17 20 33 119 -3 Big West champ (#1t)
3 Loyola Marymnt WLL 39-17 20 12 46 118 -1 West Coast champ (C1)
4 Virginia Tech LL 34-23-2 . . 74 104 +2 Atl-10 champ (W1t)
===> Super Regional 3: So. California 7 6 ==> meets 6
at Georgia Tech 2 3
==========================
Region 4 [East I] - Clemson, SC
----------------- -----------
N1 Clemson WW W 45-16 8 9 6 122 +2 ACC (#2)
4 Middle Tenn St LWWL 37-21 . . 122 104 +1 OH Valley champ (#3)
3 Illinois WLL 40-21 . . 54 107 0 Big Ten champ (#3t)
2 Old Dominion LL 33-22-1 . . 18 111 -2 Colonial (#1t)
Region 4a [South II] - Starkville, MS
-------------------- --------------
1 Mississippi St WW LW 38-17 12 17 16 119 -2 SEC (#3 W2)
3 Notre Dame WLWWL 43-16 . . 34 109 +4 Big East (#2)
2 Tulane LWL 37-20-1 . . 26 114 +4 Conf USA (#2)
4 So. Alabama LL 27-31 . . 93 104 -1 Sun Belt champ (#5)
===> Super Regional 4: Mississippi St 4 4
at Clemson 11 9 ==> meets 5
==========================
Region 5 [Bayou III] - Houston, TX
-------------------- -----------
N1 Houston WW LW 44-15 9 6 5 121 -2 Conf.USA champ (#1)
2 Rice WLWWL 40-21 24 -- 51 116 -2 WAC champ (#1t)
3 Texas Tech LWL 35-24 . . 59 113 0 Big-12 (#5)
4 Princeton LL 24-18 . . 100 98 +4 Ivy champ (Gehrig#1)
Region 5a [Central] - Waco, TX
------------------- --------
3 San Jose St WW LW 36-20 . . 73 115 +2 WAC (#1t)
2 Florida LWWWL 41-21-1 18 14 9 120 +3 SEC (#4 E2)
4 SW Texas St WLL 33-27 . . 65 110 +2 Southland champ (#3)
1 Baylor LL 45-15 5 5 11 122 +2 Big-12 (#1)
===> Super Regional 5: San Jose St 5 2 3 ==> meets 4
at Houston 3 5 2
==========================
Region 6 [South I] - Tallahassee, FL
------------------ ---------------
N1 Florida St WLWWW 45-15 10 10 3 123 -2 ACC (#3)
2 Central Fla WW LL 41-17 27 -- 24 113 +2 Trans Am (#1)
3 Evansville LWL 40-20 . . 75 109 +2 Mo Valley (#2)
4 Bethune-Cookman LL 33-27 . . 127 97 +1 MEAC champ (S3)
Region 6a [Atlantic II] - Coral Gables, FL
----------------------- ----------------
1 Miami (FL) WW W 37-17-1 11 11 17 116 -3 Independent (#2)
3 Fla Internatl LWWL 40-18 . . 47 111 +5 Sun Belt (#3)
2 Fla Atlantic WLL 42-17 . . 32 113 -1 Trans Am (#2)
4 Wagner LL 24-28-1 . . 253 83 +1 Northeast champ (S3)
===> Super Regional 6: Miami 2 7 1
at Florida St 9 5 6 ==> meets 3
==========================
Region 7 [Rocky Mtn] - Tempe, AZ
-------------------- ---------
2 Texas WLWWW 40-18 13 16 25 120 0 Big-12 (#4)
N1 Arizona St WW LL 42-13 4 4 15 124 -3 Pac-10 champ (#1t)
4 Miami (OH) LWL 39-21 . . 78 104 -3 MAC champ (E3)
3 Creighton LL 38-21 . . 64 110 0 Mo Valley (#3)
Region 7a [Northeast] - Montclair, NJ
--------------------- -------------
3 Penn St LWWWW 41-16 . . 57 108 -3 Big Ten (#2)
2 N. Carolina WW LL 44-15 15 21 7 121 +1 ACC (#5)
1 Rutgers WLL 39-16 25 15 8 111 -5 Big East champ (#1)
4 Army LL 24-18-1 . . 158 92 +6 Patriot champ (#3)
===> Super Regional 7: Penn St 3 0
at Texas 7 10 ==> meets 2
==========================
Region 8 [West II] - Palo Alto, CA
------------------ -------------
N1 Stanford WW LW 42-13 2 3 10 126 +1 Pac-10 (#1t)
2 Alabama WLWWL 38-22 21 23 21 118 -1 SEC (#6 W4)
3 Nevada LWL 37-17 23 22 72 116 -2 Big West (#1t)
4 Fresno St LL 40-19 . . 41 118 0 WAC (#3)
Region 8a [Midwest I] - Minneapolis, MN
--------------------- ---------------
1 Nebraska WW W 47-15 6 8 19 120 -4 Big-12 champ (#2)
3 Wichita St LWWL 42-19 26 -- 60 112 +3 Mo Valley champ (#1)
2 Minnesota WLL 37-22 . . 42 109 -2 Big Ten (#1)
4 Butler LL 31-26 . . 139 90 -4 Midwestern champ (#4)
===> Super Regional 8: Nebraska 7 1 2
at Stanford 3 7 5 ==> meets 1
==========================
Related information:
In addition, I include the usual list of "bridesmaid" teams. Several of these were obvious and proposed by many newsgroup readers, others stood out in Boyd's rankings, and some were picked just to placate or annoy regular newsgroup readers. There are none missing with an ISR of 111 or above.
This list of possible teams is of particular interest with the expansion of the tournament to 64 teams. One can compare the thresholds used in past years (where we also have RPI and ISR data) to those used with the expanded field. Teams that exceed the objective thresholds in the pseudo-RPI and ISR which lead me to think they deserve consideration are flagged in the table below. However, it is important to note that these numeric scores from computer rating formulae are not the only criteria used by the selection committee, nor should they be the only criteria used.
Decisive criteria included strength of non-conference schedule and performance in the conference tournament, in addition to the overall season performance numbers we tabulate here. For example, the chairman of the NCAA selection committee said in a televised interview that the reason Oklahoma State was left out (presumably one of the last ones dropped) was its 0-2 ending to the season in the conference tournament, a 6th place finish in the conference, and a weak out-of-conference schedule.
Examination of the table below shows that conference finish was undoubtedly the reason every team with a pseudo-RPI high enough to make the field strictly by the numbers (those marked with an "*") was left out by the committee. This is clearly the case for the teams from the third quartile of the SEC and in the bottom third of the ACC. It also seems clear that the committee will not go as deep in a conference like the Colonial which has not had much success in past NCAA tournaments (see past conference ranking histograms linked from the index page) and probably has a weaker overall conference RPI and out-of-conference strength of schedule.
An interesting case for the role of the RPI is Pepperdine.
Last year they had a pseudo-RPI of 32 and a high (122) ISR and got
an at-large invite and did very well. This year their ISR is much
lower (114) and the pseudo-RPI of 83 kept them out of the tournament.
The weakness of their conference (frequently a "play in" conference
in past years) makes their out-of-conference strength of schedule
critical for how they rank in the NCAA's eyes.
... RPI analysis NOT YET COMPLETE ...
??? link annotated file comparing pRPI and actual RPI ???
Overlooked ? (ordered by ISR, records may not be accurate)
----------
Record Polls Boyd Nation
Seed Team W L T CB BA RPI ISR PP etc....
==== =============== ...... ======= == == === === == ===============
X* Kentucky 36-20 . . 31 115 +1 SEC (#8 E4)
X* Georgia 30-26 . . 29 114 -3 SEC (#7 E3)
X Pepperdine 35-22 . . 83 114 -1 West Coast (W1)
X* Long Beach St 31-25 . . 44 113 0 Big West (#4t)
Tennessee 37-23 . . 58 113 -7 SEC (#10 E5)
* Mississippi 29-25 . . 36 112 +2 SEC (#9 W5)
California 25-28 . . 53 112 -4 Pac-10 (#5)
Oklahoma St 36-22 . . 63 111 -4 Big-12 (#6)
* NC State 30-28 . . 37 110 +3 ACC (#6t)
Arizona 26-29 . . 88 110 +1 Pac-10 (#7)
Hawaii 27-26 . . 98 110 0 WAC (#4)
* Va Commonwealth 39-22 . . 30 109 -2 Colonial (#5)
* James Madison 37-22 . . 40 109 0 Colonial (#4)
Southern Miss. 32-26 . . 69 109 -3 Conf USA (#3)
* Purdue 35-23 . . 38 108 0 Big Ten (#3t)
* UNC - Wilmington 36-23 . . 39 108 +2 Colonial (#3)
Virginia 26-31 . . 48 107 +2 ACC (#6t)
San Diego St 32-28 . . 114 106 0 Mtn West champ (#2)
New Mexico 29-21 . . 140 106 0 Mtn West (#1)
CSU,Northridge 17-32 . . 200 101 -1 independent (#7)
---------------
X - denotes team with Boyd's computer ranking above the 113.3
median for regional tournament teams. The lowest ISR of an
at-large team was 108 (Penn St and Seton Hall).
* - denotes team with a higher pseudo-RPI than the natural cutoff
for a 64-team tournament after automatic bids are used up [44].
==== =============== ====== ======= == == === === == ===============