Super Regionals complete.
New readers should consult a separate page that gives some general background information on the records, polls, RPI, ISR, etc information included in the table below. (An "N" indicates a "national" seed.) As usual, the polls and data are from from Monday, 21 May 2001, when the regional pairings and seedings were announced. Again, many thanks to Rick Rollins for the conference standings that make my "etc..." column and a separate analysis of performance grouped by conference possible, and to Boyd Nation for the pseudo-RPI and ISR information generated from Rick's database.
The average ISR for the field is 112.4,
plus or minus a standard deviation of 9.2.
The median ISR is 114.4.
The highest pseudo-RPI ranking without a bid was North Carolina State (#31). The lowest pseudo-RPI with an at-large bid was Fresno State (#77), although it is clear that Georgia Southern (#74) was lowest in the NCAA's official RPI. The highest ISR without a bid was UCLA (118.1, placing them 20th). The lowest ISR with an at-large bid was Jacksonville (108.2, #75), just behind Georgia Southern (108.3) and Ohio State (108.4).
Note: The NCAA identified the regions only by location, so the region numbering scheme is my own creation, reflecting the seeding of the associated super regional and identifying which of the two paired regionals has a top-8 nationally seeded team.
Super Regional Summary: Super Regional Summary:
I order these results in almost the same way the NCAA does (they use 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3), reflecting the pairings in the CWS brackets.
Super Regional 1: Miss. State 2 3
at CSU,Fullerton 13 9 ==> meets 8
Super Regional 8: Rice 0 6
at Nebraska 7 9 ==> meets 1
Super Regional 4: So. Carolina 1 4 2
at Stanford 11 3 3 ==> meets 5
Super Regional 5: LSU 4 4 1
at Tulane 3 9 7 ==> meets 4
==========================
Super Regional 2: Clemson 8 6
at Miami 10 14 ==> meets 7
Super Regional 7: Tennessee 13 6 ==> meets 2
at E. Carolina 10 3
Super Regional 3: Florida Intl 1 0
at So. Calif. 5 6 ==> meets 6
Super Regional 6: Florida St. 7 11 3
at Georgia 8 6 8 ==> meets 3
==========================
Complete Results:
Note: The regional names in square brackets were "officially" determined by Craig Gowens, now and forever the "Commissioner of the SWC". All series start on 25 May. The order here is by national seed, not by future CWS pairing (which is the 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3 order previously used in NCAA listings) or the seemingly random order used this year.
NCAA Record Polls Boyd Nation
Seed Team Result W L T CB BA RPI ISR etc....
==== =============== ====== ======= == == === === ===============
Region 1 [West I] - Fulleton, CA
----------------- ------------
N1 * CSU,Fullerton WW W 41-15 5 4 1 128 Big West champ (#1)
3 Texas Tech LWWL 40-18-1 22 -- 44 117 Big 12 (#2)
2 Arizona St. WLL 36-18-1 16 17 27 121 Pac 10 (#3t)
4 Temple LL 27-29 . . 131 96 Atl-10 champ (#2t)
Region 1a [Mideast II] - Columbus, OH
---------------------- ------------
1 * Miss. State WW W 36-22 19 21 11 115 SEC champ (#4 W2)
4 Kent St. LWWL 30-28 . . 150 96 MAC champ (#3 E2)
3 Delaware WLL 44-13 . . 39 107 Am. East champ (#1)
2 Ohio State LL 43-16 . . 62 108 Big 10 (#1)
===> Super Regional 1: Miss. State 2 3
at CSU,Fullerton 13 9 ==> meets 8
==========================
Region 2 [Atlantic I] - Coral Gables, FL
--------------------- ----------------
N1 * Miami (FL) WW W 44-12 1 1 2 120 Independent (#1)
3 Stetson LWWL 41-15 . . 48 111 Trans Am (#2)
2 Florida WLL 34-25 . . 17 114 SEC (#7 E4)
4 Bucknell LL 31-17 . . 165 93 Patriot champ (#1t)
Region 2a [Atlantic II] - Clemson, SC
----------------------- -----------
2 * Clemson WW W 38-20 14 19 22 114 ACC (#2)
4 Seton Hall WLWL 32-21-1 . . 74 101 Big East champ (#3t)
1 So. Alabama LWL 44-17 -- 22 26 115 Sun Belt champ (#1t)
3 William & Mary LL 35-18 . . 45 107 Colonial champ (#3)
===> Super Regional 2: Clemson 8 6
at Miami 10 14 ==> meets 7
==========================
Region 3 [West II] - Los Angeles, CA (USC)
------------------ ---------------
N1 * So. Calif. WW W 39-17 2 2 9 127 Pac 10 champ (#1)
3 Fresno St. LWWL 39-23 . . 77 117 WAC (#2)
2 Pepperdine WLL 41-16 13 11 36 122 West Coast champ (#1 W1)
4 Oral Roberts LL 48-11 25 -- 83 112 Mid Cont. champ (#1)
Region 3a [Midwest I] - South Bend, IN
--------------------- --------------
3 * Florida Intl WW LW 40-18 . . 30 111 Sun Belt (#3)
1 Notre Dame WLWWL 46-11-1 8 8 14 114 Big East (#1)
2 UCSB LWL 39-15 21 23 24 121 Big West (#2)
4 Wis.-Milwaukee LL 39-16 . . 99 105 Midwestern champ (#1)
===> Super Regional 3: Florida Intl 1 0
at So. Calif. 5 6 ==> meets 6
==========================
Region 4 [West III] - Palo Alto, CA
------------------- -------------
N1 * Stanford WLWWW 42-14 4 6 5 129 Pac 10 (#2)
3 Texas WW LL 34-24 . . 50 115 Big 12 (#3)
4 Marist LWL 32-19-1 . . 157 92 Metro Atl. champ (#3)
2 Long Beach St. LL 35-21 . . 15 123 Big West (#3)
Region 4a [East II] - Columbia, SC
------------------- ------------
2 * So. Carolina WLWWW 44-17 24 16 4 120 SEC (#5 E3)
1 Central Fla WW LL 49-12 12 7 28 115 Trans Am champ (#1)
4 Princeton LWL 22-23 . . 117 95 Ivy champ (Gehrig#1)
3 The Citadel LL 38-22 . . 56 108 Southern champ (#2)
===> Super Regional 4: So. Carolina 1 4 2
at Stanford 11 3 3 ==> meets 5
==========================
Region 5 [Bayou II] - New Orleans, LA
------------------- ---------------
N1 * Tulane WW W 50-10 6 5 19 122 Conf USA champ (#1)
3 Okla. St. WLWL 40-20 . . 41 116 Big 12 (#5)
2 Mississippi LWL 38-21-1 23 -- 16 117 SEC (#6 W3)
4 Southern LL 43-10 . . 96 101 SWAC champ (#1 W1)
Region 5a [Bayou I] - Baton Rouge, LA
------------------- ---------------
1 * LSU WW LW 40-19-1 11 12 3 120 SEC (#2 W1)
2 Va. Comm. WLWWL 38-17 . . 35 110 Colonial (#2)
3 California LWL 33-23 . . 46 119 Pac 10 (#3t)
4 Minnesota LL 39-19 -- 25 49 110 Big 10 champ (#3)
===> Super Regional 5: LSU 4 4 1
at Tulane 3 9 7 ==> meets 4
==========================
Region 6 [South II] - Athens, GA
------------------- ----------
N1 * Georgia LWWWW 41-18 9 9 8 119 SEC (#1 E1, champ)
3 Coastal Carol. WW LL 40-18 . . 40 110 Big South champ (#2)
4 Ga. Southern WLL 41-18 . . 61 108 Southern (#1)
2 Georgia Tech LL 41-18 20 20 21 115 ACC (#4)
Region 6a [East I] - Tallahassee, FL
------------------ ---------------
1 * Florida St WW W 43-17 7 13 7 119 ACC (#1)
2 Auburn WLWL 35-19 . . 12 119 SEC (#8 W4)
3 Jacksonville LWL 38-23 . . 37 108 Trans Am (#3)
4 Bethune-Cookman LL 26-32 . . 195 89 MEAC champ (#2 S1)
===> Super Regional 6: Florida St. 7 11 3
at Georgia 8 6 8 ==> meets 3
==========================
Region 7 [South I] - Wilson, NC
------------------ ----------
N1 * East Carolina WW W 44-11 10 10 6 118 Colonial (#1)
2 Winthrop LWWL 46-14-1 . . 25 113 Big South (#1)
3 So. Florida WLL 32-29 . . 33 109 Conf USA (#3t)
4 Mary.-Balt Cnty LL 31-18-2 . . 187 90 Northeast champ (#1t S1t)
Region 7a [Mideast I] - Knoxville, TN
--------------------- -------------
2 * Tennessee WW LW 41-17 18 18 10 120 SEC (#3 E2)
1 Wake Forest LWWWL 41-16 17 15 13 116 ACC champ (#3)
4 Tenn Tech WLL 32-28 . . 143 101 OH Valley champ (#3)
3 Middle Tenn St LL 41-15 -- 24 57 114 Sun Belt (#1t)
===> Super Regional 7: Tennessee 13 6 ==> meets 2
at E. Carolina 10 3
==========================
Region 8 [Midwest II] - Lincoln, NE
--------------------- -----------
N1 * Nebraska WW W 45-14 3 3 18 121 Big 12 champ (#1)
2 Rutgers WLWL 40-15 . . 23 110 Big East (#2)
4 Northern Iowa LWL 34-26 . . 119 105 Mo Valley champ (#5)
3 Brigham Young LL 38-20 . . 59 116 Mtn West champ (#1)
Region 8a [Bayou III] - Houston, TX
--------------------- -----------
1 * Rice WLWWW 43-17 15 14 20 122 WAC champ (#1)
2 Baylor WW LL 35-22 . . 29 118 Big 12 (#4)
4 Texas-Arlington LWL 38-23 . . 47 113 Southland champ (#3t)
3 Houston LL 29-28 . . 34 113 Conf USA (#2)
===> Super Regional 8: Rice 0 6
at Nebraska 7 9 ==> meets 1
==========================
Related information:
In addition, I include the usual list of "bridesmaid" teams. Several of these were obvious and proposed by many newsgroup readers, others stood out in Boyd's rankings, and some were picked just to placate or annoy regular newsgroup readers. There are none missing with an ISR of 114 or above.
This list of possible teams is of particular interest with the expansion of the tournament to 64 teams. One can compare the thresholds used in past years (where we also have RPI and ISR data) to those used with the expanded field. Teams that exceed the objective thresholds in the pseudo-RPI and ISR which lead me to think they deserve consideration are flagged in the table below. However, it is important to note that these numeric scores from computer rating formulae are not the only criteria used by the selection committee, nor should they be the only criteria used.
Decisive criteria listed by the NCAA selection committee in the past have included strength of non-conference schedule and performance in the conference tournament in addition to the overall season performance numbers we tabulate here.
Examination of the table below shows that conference finish was undoubtedly the reason every team with a pseudo-RPI high enough to make the field strictly by the numbers (those marked with an "*") was left out by the committee. This is clearly the case for the teams from the bottom third of the SEC and Pac 10.
Since Georgia Southern [ISR=108, pRPI=#61] is the only at-large team to get a #4 seed, they were clearly the last team added to the field.
The one team that stands out in both the pRPI and the ISR is
UCLA. If not for their very poor finish in the Pac 10 (7th),
they would probably be in the tournament. This year it is
particularly clear that the pRPI seriously underestimates
the strength (as measured by the ISR) of west coast teams.
However, as with UCLA, many of those finished poorly in their
conference -- although a case could be made for going as deep
as #4 in the WAC. San Diego, which finished 2nd in the West
Coast conference, would definitely be in if the ISR were used
instead of the RPI.
... RPI analysis NOT YET COMPLETE ...
Overlooked ? (ordered by ISR, records may not be accurate)
----------
Record Polls Boyd Nation
Seed Team W L T CB BA RPI ISR etc....
==== =============== ...... ======= == == === === ===============
X* UCLA 30-27 . . 43 118 Pac 10 (#7)
X CSU,Northridge 34-22 . . 55 117 Big West (#4)
X San Jose St 37-22-1 . . 86 116 WAC (#4)
X Oregon St 31-24 . . 68 116 Pac 10 (#6)
X San Diego 35-21 . . 97 115 West Coast (#2 W2)
X Arizona 33-23 . . 75 115 Pac 10 (#5)
X Cal Poly 30-26 . . 58 115 Big West (#5)
* Alabama 32-23 . . 32 114 SEC (#9 W5)
Washington 29-23 . . 124 113 Pac 10 (#8)
Wichita State 42-24 . . 53 113 Mo Valley (#2)
Texas Christian 32-28 . . 92 112 WAC (#3)
Northwestern St 38-17 . . 70 112 Southland (#1)
Texas A & M 33-27 . . 71 112 Big 12 (#5)
Arkansas 27-29 . . 54 112 SEC (#10 W6)
SW Texas St 36-22 . . 65 110 Southland (#4)
SW Missouri St 36-22 . . 67 110 Mo Valley (#1)
Louisiana-Monroe 36-24 . . 63 110 Southland (#2)
Evansville 36-21 . . 73 110 Mo Valley (#3)
* N. Carolina 31-26 . . 38 109 ACC (#6)
Gonzaga 28-27 . . 164 108 West Coast (#3 E1t)
* NC State 32-29 . . 31 108 ACC runner-up (#8)
Purdue 32-24 . . 80 106 Big 10 (#2)
* Florida Atlantic 36-24 . . 42 106 Trans Am (#5)
Stony Brook 35-16 . . 138 97 NY State (#1)
Mary. Eastern Shore 3-42 . . 282 57 MEAC (#8 N4)
---------------
X - denotes team with Boyd's computer ranking above the 114.4
median for regional tournament teams. The lowest ISR of an
at-large team was 108.
* - denotes team with a higher pseudo-RPI than the natural cutoff
for a 64-team tournament after automatic bids are used up [49].
==== =============== ====== ======= == == === === == ===============