NCAA Baseball
Regional Results
2005

Super Regionals are complete.

New readers should consult a separate page that gives some general background information on the records, polls, RPI, ISR, etc information included in the table below. (An "N" indicates a "national" seed.) As usual, the polls and data are from from Monday, 30 May 2005, when the regional pairings and seedings were announced. Again, many thanks to Boyd Nation for the pseudo-RPI and ISR information generated from his database.

The average (mean) ISR for the field is 111.6, plus or minus a standard deviation of 7.7.
The median ISR is 114.0.

The highest pseudo-RPI ranking without a bid was Georgia (26). The lowest pseudo-RPI with an at-large bid was St. John's (55). The highest ISR without a bid was Cal Poly (117.7). The lowest ISR with an at-large bid was St. John's (104.3), far behind Florida Atlantic (109.9) and E. Carolina (110.3).

Note: The NCAA identified the regions only by location, so the region numbering scheme is my own creation, reflecting the seeding of the associated super regional and identifying which of the two paired regionals has a top-8 nationally seeded team.

Super Regional Summary:

I order these results in almost the same way the NCAA does (they use 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3), reflecting the pairings in the CWS brackets. An asterisk (*) indicates a National seed.


       Super Regional 1:    Rice      9   0   6  
                         at Tulane*   5   7   9  ==>  meets 8


       Super Regional 8:    Southern Cal   4   9   8  
                         at Oregon St*    10   8  10  ==>  meets 1


       Super Regional 4:    Clemson   4   1   1 
                         at Baylor*   2   7   6  ==>  meets 5


       Super Regional 5:    Texas          4   3   6  ==>  meets 4
                         at Mississippi*   6   1   4  

            ==========================

       Super Regional 2:    Tennessee       3  13  ==>  meets 7
                         at Georgia Tech*   2   3   


       Super Regional 7:    Florida St   1   5   
                         at Florida*     8   8  ==>  meets 2


       Super Regional 3:    Miami (FL)   1   3   
                         at Nebraska*    3   6  ==>  meets 6


       Super Regional 6:    Arizona St       2   6   9  ==>  meets 3
                         at CSU,Fullerton*   3   2   8  

            ==========================

Complete Results:

Note: The regional names in square brackets were "officially" determined by Craig Gowens, now and forever the "Commissioner of the SWC". All series start on 30 May. The order here is by national seed, not by future CWS pairing (which is the 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3 order previously used in NCAA listings) or the alphabetical order the NCAA used this year.


                       NCAA  Record   Polls  Boyd Nation
 Seed Team            Result W  L  T  CB BA   RPI   ISR   etc....
 ==== =============== ====== =======  == ==   ===   ===   ===============

   Region 1 [Bayou I] - New Orleans, LA
  -------------------   ---------------
 N1 * Tulane          WW W   50- 9     1  1     1   123   Conf.USA champ (#1)
  2   Alabama         WLWL   38-21    18 18    30   114   SEC #5 (W3)
  3   U. LA-La        LWL    47-17    23 --    41   112   Sun Belt #1
  4   Southern U      LL     29-16     .  .   144    98   SWAC champ (W1)

  Region 1a [Bayou II] - Baton Rouge, LA
  --------------------   ---------------
  2   Rice            WW W   41-17    17 14    25   118   WAC champ (#1)
  1   Louisiana St    WLWL   38-20    16 13    15   117   SEC #2 (W1t)
  3   Northwestern St LWL    40-18     .  .    38   113   Southland #1
  4   Marist          LL     33-19     .  .   128    99   Metro Atl. champ (#1)

     ===>   Super Regional 1:    Rice     9   0   6  
                              at Tulane   5   7   9  ==>  meets 8

            ==========================

  Region 2 [South I] - Atlanta, GA
  ------------------   -----------
 N1   Georgia Tech    WW LW  41-16     5  5     2   118   ACC champ (#1)
  2   S. Carolina     WLWWL  38-21    25 --    32   114   SEC #6 (E3)
  3   Michigan        LWL    41-17     .  .    46   111   Big 10 #4t
  4   Furman          LL     30-27     .  .   102   103   Southern champ (#7t)

  Region 2a [South II] - Knoxville, TN
  --------------------   -------------
  1 * Tennessee       WW W   41-19    10 10    29   114   SEC #3 (E2)
  3   Wichita St      LWWL   49-22    28 --    36   114   Mo.Valley champ (#2)
  2   Winthrop        WLL    43-20     .  .    20   114   Big South champ (#2)
  4   Austin Peay     LL     38-22     .  .   142   103   OH Valley champ (#2)

     ===>   Super Regional 2:    Tennessee      3  13  ==> meets 7
                              at Georgia Tech   2   3   

            ==========================

  Region 3 [Midwest] - Lincoln, NE
  ------------------   -----------
 N1 * Nebraska        WW W   51-13     4  3    18   120   Big 12 champ (#1t)
  3   Creighton       WLWL   46-15     .  .    48   114   Mo.Valley #1
  2   N.C. State      LWL    40-17    26 22    12   115   ACC #6
  4   Ill-Chicago     LL     38-19-1   .  .   149   103   Horizon champ (#1)

  Region 3a [Atlantic] - Coral Gables, FL
  --------------------   ----------------
  1   Miami (FL)      WW W   38-17-1  13 17     7   116   ACC #3
  2   Miss. St.       WLWL   40-20    30 19    21   115   SEC champ (#7,W4)
  3   Fla Atlantic    LWL    36-22     .  .    37   110   Atl.Sun #2t
  4   Va.Commonwealth LL     33-20     .  .    99   101   Colonial champ (#3)

     ===>   Super Regional 3:    Miami (FL)   1   3   
                              at Nebraska     3   6  ==>  meets 6

            ==========================

  Region 4 [Central I] - Waco, TX
  --------------------   -------- 
 N1 * Baylor          WW W   39-21     6  8     5   119   Big 12 #1t
  3   Stanford        LWWL   32-23     .  .    39   117   Pac-10 #6t
  2   Texas Christian WLL    40-18    27 24    28   115   Conf.USA #2t
  4   UT-San Antonio  LL     27-32     .  .   132   103   Southland champ (#4t)

  Region 4a [East] - Clemson, SC
  ----------------   -----------
  1   Clemson         WW W   39-21    12 15     6   116   ACC #2
  3   Oral Roberts    LWWL   40-18     .  .    69   108   Mid-Cont. champ (#1)
  2   C.of Charleston WLL    47-13    22 --    10   116   Southern #1
  4   NC A & T        LL     27-25     .  .   228    91   MEAC champ (#1)

     ===>   Super Regional 4:    Clemson   4   1   1 
                              at Baylor    2   7   6  ==>  meets 5

            ==========================

  Region 5 [MidEast] - Oxford, MS
  ------------------   ----------
 N1   Mississippi     WW W   44-18    11  9     4   120   SEC runner-up (#4,W1t)
  3   Oklahoma        WLWL   33-24     .  .    40   112   Big 12 #5
  4   Maine           LWL    34-17     .  .    98    99   Amer.East champ (#2t)
  2   So. Miss.       LL     41-19     .  .    33   114   Conf.USA #2t

  Region 5a [Central II] - Austin, TX
  ----------------------   ----------
  1 * Texas           WLWWW  45-14     7  6     3   122   Big 12 #3
  2   Arkansas        WW LL  37-20     .  .    22   116   SEC #8 (W5t)
  3   Miami (OH)      LWL    44-16     .  .    43   110   MAC champ (E1)
  4   Quinnipiac      LL     26-22     .  .   166    92   Northeast champ (#1)

     ===>   Super Regional 5:    Texas         4   3   6  ==>  meets 4
                              at Mississippi   6   1   4  

            ==========================

  Region 6 [West] - Fullerton, CA
  ---------------   -------------
 N1   CSU,Fullerton   WLWWW  41-15     2  4    11   124   Big West champ (#1)
  2   Arizona         WW LL  37-19     9  7    35   118   Pac-10 #2
  3   Missouri        LWL    39-21    -- 16    49   113   Big 12 #4
  4   Harvard         LL     29-15     .  .    96    99   Ivy champ (Rolfe,1)

  Region 6a [Mountain] - Tempe, AZ
  --------------------   ---------
  2 * Arizona St      WW W   34-22    20 23    27   118   Pac-10 #3t
  1   Coastal Carol.  WLWL   48-14    24 25    14   116   Big South #1
  4   UNLV            LWL    34-27     .  .   109   107   Mtn West champ (#1)
  3   E. Carolina     LL     35-24     .  .    44   110   Conf.USA #4

     ===>   Super Regional 6:    Arizona St      2   6   9  ==>  meets 3
                              at CSU,Fullerton   3   2   8  

            ==========================

  Region 7 [Swamp I] - Gainesville, FL
  ------------------   ---------------
 N1 * Florida         WW W   40-20     8 11     9   116   SEC #1 (E1)
  3   Notre Dame      LWWL   36-22-1   .  .    60   104   Big East champ (#3)
  2   N. Carolina     WLL    40-17-1  21 --     8   115   ACC #5
  4   Stetson         LL     35-26     .  .    57   106   Atl.Sun champ (#4)

  Region 7a [Swamp II] - Tallahassee, FL
  --------------------   ---------------
  1   Florida St      WW W   50-18    14 20    23   116   ACC #4
  2   Auburn          WLWL   32-24     .  .    19   113   SEC #9t (W5t)
  4   Army            LWL    38-21     .  .    95   102   Patriot champ (#1)
  3   S. Alabama      LL     35-25     .  .    51   108   Sun Belt champ (#2)

     ===>   Super Regional 7:    Florida St   1   5   
                              at Florida      8   8  ==>  meets 2

            ==========================

  Region 8 [Pacific I] - Corvallis, OR        [Far West in 1952]
  --------------------   -------------
 N1 * Oregon St       WW W   41- 9     3  2    13   126   Pac-10 champ (#1)
  3   St.John's (NY)  WLWL   39-16    29 --    55   104   Big East #1
  4   Ohio St.        LWL    39-18     .  .    64   108   Big 10 champ (#4t)
  2   Virginia        LL     41-18     .  .    24   111   ACC runner-up (#7)


  Region 8a [Pacific II] - Long Beach, CA
  ----------------------   --------------
  2   Southern Cal.   WW LW  37-19    19 21    16   121   Pac-10 #3t
  3   Pepperdine      LWWWL  38-21     .  .    34   119   WestCoast champ (W1)
  1   Long Beach St   WLL    36-20    15 12    17   120   Big West #2
  4   Rhode Island    LL     34-19     .  .    90   101   Atl-10 champ (#1)

     ===>   Super Regional 8:    Southern Cal   4   9   8
                              at Oregon St     10   8  10  ==>  meets 1

            ==========================

Related information:

In addition, I include the usual list of "bridesmaid" teams. Several of these were obvious and proposed by many newsgroup readers, others stood out in Boyd's rankings, and some were picked just to placate or annoy regular newsgroup readers. There are none missing with an ISR of 114 or above.

This list of possible teams is of particular interest with the expansion of the tournament to 64 teams. One can compare the thresholds used in past years (where we also have RPI and ISR data) to those used with the 64-team field. Teams that exceed the objective thresholds in the pseudo-RPI and ISR which lead me to think they deserve consideration are flagged in the table below. However, it is important to note that these numeric scores from computer rating formulae are not the only criteria used by the selection committee, nor should they be the only criteria used.

Decisive criteria listed by the NCAA selection committee in the past have included strength of non-conference schedule and performance in the conference tournament in addition to the overall season performance numbers we tabulate here.

Examination of the 2001 seeds showed that conference finish was undoubtedly the reason every team with a pseudo-RPI high enough to make the field strictly by the numbers (those marked with an "*") was left out by the committee. This is clearly the case for Georgia (same conf record as Auburn, #9t) and Vanderbilt (#11 of 12 in the conference)

St. John's (NY) appears to be the last team added to the field, purely on the strength of its regular season conference finish?


... RPI analysis NOT YET COMPLETE ...

... but I think they need to explain choosing the bottom of the ACC and St. John's over west coast teams, although St. John's showed that their judgement call was pretty good.


   Overlooked ?   (ordered by ISR, records may not be accurate) 
   ----------

                             Record   Polls  Boyd Nation
 Seed Team                   W  L  T  CB BA   RPI   ISR   etc....
 ==== =============== ...... =======  == ==   ===   ===   ===============

  X   Cal Poly               36-20     .  .    58   118   Big West #2
  X   San Francisco          38-18     .  .    59   117   WestCoast (W2)
  X   California             34-23     .  .    62   116   Pac-10 #5
  X   Washington             31-22     .  .    63   116   Pac-10 #6t
  X   UC Irvine              31-25     .  .    53   115   Big West #5
   *  Vanderbilt             34-21     .  .    31   113   SEC #9t (E4)
   *  Texas A & M            30-25     .  .    45   112   Big 12 #9
   *  Georgia                30-25     .  .    26   112   SEC #11 (E5)
      Texas Tech             31-25     .  .    52   111   Big 12 #8
      Oklahoma St            34-25     .  .    54   110   Big 12 #6
      Georgia Southern       38-22     .  .    47   109   Southern #2
   *  Central Florida        42-18     .  .    42   109   Atl.Sun #2
      UNC-Wilmington         40-19     .  .    50   107   Colonial #1
      TAMU - Corpus Christi  31-21     .  .   104   106   independent #1 
      UMES                    6-41     .  .   288    70   MEAC #7
      Alabama A & M           3-31     .  .   290    62   SWAC (E5)


 ---------------

  X - denotes team with Boyd's computer ranking above the 114.0 
      median for regional tournament teams.  The lowest ISR of an 
      at-large team was 104 (St. John's).

  * - denotes team with a higher pseudo-RPI than the natural cutoff 
      for a 64-team tournament after automatic bids are used up [45]. 

 ==== =============== ====== =======  == ==  === ===  ==  ===============