Super Regionals are complete.
New readers should consult a separate page that gives some general background information on the records, polls, RPI, ISR, etc information included in the table below. (An "N" indicates a "national" seed.) As usual, the polls and data are from from Monday, 30 May 2005, when the regional pairings and seedings were announced. Again, many thanks to Boyd Nation for the pseudo-RPI and ISR information generated from his database.
The average (mean) ISR for the field is 111.6,
plus or minus a standard deviation of 7.7.
The median ISR is 114.0.
The highest pseudo-RPI ranking without a bid was Georgia (26). The lowest pseudo-RPI with an at-large bid was St. John's (55). The highest ISR without a bid was Cal Poly (117.7). The lowest ISR with an at-large bid was St. John's (104.3), far behind Florida Atlantic (109.9) and E. Carolina (110.3).
Note: The NCAA identified the regions only by location, so the region numbering scheme is my own creation, reflecting the seeding of the associated super regional and identifying which of the two paired regionals has a top-8 nationally seeded team.
Super Regional Summary:
I order these results in almost the same way the NCAA does (they use 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3), reflecting the pairings in the CWS brackets. An asterisk (*) indicates a National seed.
Super Regional 1: Rice 9 0 6 at Tulane* 5 7 9 ==> meets 8 Super Regional 8: Southern Cal 4 9 8 at Oregon St* 10 8 10 ==> meets 1 Super Regional 4: Clemson 4 1 1 at Baylor* 2 7 6 ==> meets 5 Super Regional 5: Texas 4 3 6 ==> meets 4 at Mississippi* 6 1 4 ========================== Super Regional 2: Tennessee 3 13 ==> meets 7 at Georgia Tech* 2 3 Super Regional 7: Florida St 1 5 at Florida* 8 8 ==> meets 2 Super Regional 3: Miami (FL) 1 3 at Nebraska* 3 6 ==> meets 6 Super Regional 6: Arizona St 2 6 9 ==> meets 3 at CSU,Fullerton* 3 2 8 ==========================
Complete Results:
Note: The regional names in square brackets were "officially" determined by Craig Gowens, now and forever the "Commissioner of the SWC". All series start on 30 May. The order here is by national seed, not by future CWS pairing (which is the 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3 order previously used in NCAA listings) or the alphabetical order the NCAA used this year.
NCAA Record Polls Boyd Nation Seed Team Result W L T CB BA RPI ISR etc.... ==== =============== ====== ======= == == === === =============== Region 1 [Bayou I] - New Orleans, LA ------------------- --------------- N1 * Tulane WW W 50- 9 1 1 1 123 Conf.USA champ (#1) 2 Alabama WLWL 38-21 18 18 30 114 SEC #5 (W3) 3 U. LA-La LWL 47-17 23 -- 41 112 Sun Belt #1 4 Southern U LL 29-16 . . 144 98 SWAC champ (W1) Region 1a [Bayou II] - Baton Rouge, LA -------------------- --------------- 2 Rice WW W 41-17 17 14 25 118 WAC champ (#1) 1 Louisiana St WLWL 38-20 16 13 15 117 SEC #2 (W1t) 3 Northwestern St LWL 40-18 . . 38 113 Southland #1 4 Marist LL 33-19 . . 128 99 Metro Atl. champ (#1) ===> Super Regional 1: Rice 9 0 6 at Tulane 5 7 9 ==> meets 8 ========================== Region 2 [South I] - Atlanta, GA ------------------ ----------- N1 Georgia Tech WW LW 41-16 5 5 2 118 ACC champ (#1) 2 S. Carolina WLWWL 38-21 25 -- 32 114 SEC #6 (E3) 3 Michigan LWL 41-17 . . 46 111 Big 10 #4t 4 Furman LL 30-27 . . 102 103 Southern champ (#7t) Region 2a [South II] - Knoxville, TN -------------------- ------------- 1 * Tennessee WW W 41-19 10 10 29 114 SEC #3 (E2) 3 Wichita St LWWL 49-22 28 -- 36 114 Mo.Valley champ (#2) 2 Winthrop WLL 43-20 . . 20 114 Big South champ (#2) 4 Austin Peay LL 38-22 . . 142 103 OH Valley champ (#2) ===> Super Regional 2: Tennessee 3 13 ==> meets 7 at Georgia Tech 2 3 ========================== Region 3 [Midwest] - Lincoln, NE ------------------ ----------- N1 * Nebraska WW W 51-13 4 3 18 120 Big 12 champ (#1t) 3 Creighton WLWL 46-15 . . 48 114 Mo.Valley #1 2 N.C. State LWL 40-17 26 22 12 115 ACC #6 4 Ill-Chicago LL 38-19-1 . . 149 103 Horizon champ (#1) Region 3a [Atlantic] - Coral Gables, FL -------------------- ---------------- 1 Miami (FL) WW W 38-17-1 13 17 7 116 ACC #3 2 Miss. St. WLWL 40-20 30 19 21 115 SEC champ (#7,W4) 3 Fla Atlantic LWL 36-22 . . 37 110 Atl.Sun #2t 4 Va.Commonwealth LL 33-20 . . 99 101 Colonial champ (#3) ===> Super Regional 3: Miami (FL) 1 3 at Nebraska 3 6 ==> meets 6 ========================== Region 4 [Central I] - Waco, TX -------------------- -------- N1 * Baylor WW W 39-21 6 8 5 119 Big 12 #1t 3 Stanford LWWL 32-23 . . 39 117 Pac-10 #6t 2 Texas Christian WLL 40-18 27 24 28 115 Conf.USA #2t 4 UT-San Antonio LL 27-32 . . 132 103 Southland champ (#4t) Region 4a [East] - Clemson, SC ---------------- ----------- 1 Clemson WW W 39-21 12 15 6 116 ACC #2 3 Oral Roberts LWWL 40-18 . . 69 108 Mid-Cont. champ (#1) 2 C.of Charleston WLL 47-13 22 -- 10 116 Southern #1 4 NC A & T LL 27-25 . . 228 91 MEAC champ (#1) ===> Super Regional 4: Clemson 4 1 1 at Baylor 2 7 6 ==> meets 5 ========================== Region 5 [MidEast] - Oxford, MS ------------------ ---------- N1 Mississippi WW W 44-18 11 9 4 120 SEC runner-up (#4,W1t) 3 Oklahoma WLWL 33-24 . . 40 112 Big 12 #5 4 Maine LWL 34-17 . . 98 99 Amer.East champ (#2t) 2 So. Miss. LL 41-19 . . 33 114 Conf.USA #2t Region 5a [Central II] - Austin, TX ---------------------- ---------- 1 * Texas WLWWW 45-14 7 6 3 122 Big 12 #3 2 Arkansas WW LL 37-20 . . 22 116 SEC #8 (W5t) 3 Miami (OH) LWL 44-16 . . 43 110 MAC champ (E1) 4 Quinnipiac LL 26-22 . . 166 92 Northeast champ (#1) ===> Super Regional 5: Texas 4 3 6 ==> meets 4 at Mississippi 6 1 4 ========================== Region 6 [West] - Fullerton, CA --------------- ------------- N1 CSU,Fullerton WLWWW 41-15 2 4 11 124 Big West champ (#1) 2 Arizona WW LL 37-19 9 7 35 118 Pac-10 #2 3 Missouri LWL 39-21 -- 16 49 113 Big 12 #4 4 Harvard LL 29-15 . . 96 99 Ivy champ (Rolfe,1) Region 6a [Mountain] - Tempe, AZ -------------------- --------- 2 * Arizona St WW W 34-22 20 23 27 118 Pac-10 #3t 1 Coastal Carol. WLWL 48-14 24 25 14 116 Big South #1 4 UNLV LWL 34-27 . . 109 107 Mtn West champ (#1) 3 E. Carolina LL 35-24 . . 44 110 Conf.USA #4 ===> Super Regional 6: Arizona St 2 6 9 ==> meets 3 at CSU,Fullerton 3 2 8 ========================== Region 7 [Swamp I] - Gainesville, FL ------------------ --------------- N1 * Florida WW W 40-20 8 11 9 116 SEC #1 (E1) 3 Notre Dame LWWL 36-22-1 . . 60 104 Big East champ (#3) 2 N. Carolina WLL 40-17-1 21 -- 8 115 ACC #5 4 Stetson LL 35-26 . . 57 106 Atl.Sun champ (#4) Region 7a [Swamp II] - Tallahassee, FL -------------------- --------------- 1 Florida St WW W 50-18 14 20 23 116 ACC #4 2 Auburn WLWL 32-24 . . 19 113 SEC #9t (W5t) 4 Army LWL 38-21 . . 95 102 Patriot champ (#1) 3 S. Alabama LL 35-25 . . 51 108 Sun Belt champ (#2) ===> Super Regional 7: Florida St 1 5 at Florida 8 8 ==> meets 2 ========================== Region 8 [Pacific I] - Corvallis, OR [Far West in 1952] -------------------- ------------- N1 * Oregon St WW W 41- 9 3 2 13 126 Pac-10 champ (#1) 3 St.John's (NY) WLWL 39-16 29 -- 55 104 Big East #1 4 Ohio St. LWL 39-18 . . 64 108 Big 10 champ (#4t) 2 Virginia LL 41-18 . . 24 111 ACC runner-up (#7) Region 8a [Pacific II] - Long Beach, CA ---------------------- -------------- 2 Southern Cal. WW LW 37-19 19 21 16 121 Pac-10 #3t 3 Pepperdine LWWWL 38-21 . . 34 119 WestCoast champ (W1) 1 Long Beach St WLL 36-20 15 12 17 120 Big West #2 4 Rhode Island LL 34-19 . . 90 101 Atl-10 champ (#1) ===> Super Regional 8: Southern Cal 4 9 8 at Oregon St 10 8 10 ==> meets 1 ==========================
Related information:
In addition, I include the usual list of "bridesmaid" teams. Several of these were obvious and proposed by many newsgroup readers, others stood out in Boyd's rankings, and some were picked just to placate or annoy regular newsgroup readers. There are none missing with an ISR of 114 or above.
This list of possible teams is of particular interest with the expansion of the tournament to 64 teams. One can compare the thresholds used in past years (where we also have RPI and ISR data) to those used with the 64-team field. Teams that exceed the objective thresholds in the pseudo-RPI and ISR which lead me to think they deserve consideration are flagged in the table below. However, it is important to note that these numeric scores from computer rating formulae are not the only criteria used by the selection committee, nor should they be the only criteria used.
Decisive criteria listed by the NCAA selection committee in the past have included strength of non-conference schedule and performance in the conference tournament in addition to the overall season performance numbers we tabulate here.
Examination of the 2001 seeds showed that conference finish was undoubtedly the reason every team with a pseudo-RPI high enough to make the field strictly by the numbers (those marked with an "*") was left out by the committee. This is clearly the case for Georgia (same conf record as Auburn, #9t) and Vanderbilt (#11 of 12 in the conference)
St. John's (NY) appears to be the last team added to the field, purely on the strength of its regular season conference finish?
... RPI analysis NOT YET COMPLETE ...
... but I think they need to explain choosing the bottom of the ACC
and St. John's over west coast teams, although St. John's showed
that their judgement call was pretty good.
Overlooked ? (ordered by ISR, records may not be accurate) ---------- Record Polls Boyd Nation Seed Team W L T CB BA RPI ISR etc.... ==== =============== ...... ======= == == === === =============== X Cal Poly 36-20 . . 58 118 Big West #2 X San Francisco 38-18 . . 59 117 WestCoast (W2) X California 34-23 . . 62 116 Pac-10 #5 X Washington 31-22 . . 63 116 Pac-10 #6t X UC Irvine 31-25 . . 53 115 Big West #5 * Vanderbilt 34-21 . . 31 113 SEC #9t (E4) * Texas A & M 30-25 . . 45 112 Big 12 #9 * Georgia 30-25 . . 26 112 SEC #11 (E5) Texas Tech 31-25 . . 52 111 Big 12 #8 Oklahoma St 34-25 . . 54 110 Big 12 #6 Georgia Southern 38-22 . . 47 109 Southern #2 * Central Florida 42-18 . . 42 109 Atl.Sun #2 UNC-Wilmington 40-19 . . 50 107 Colonial #1 TAMU - Corpus Christi 31-21 . . 104 106 independent #1 UMES 6-41 . . 288 70 MEAC #7 Alabama A & M 3-31 . . 290 62 SWAC (E5) --------------- X - denotes team with Boyd's computer ranking above the 114.0 median for regional tournament teams. The lowest ISR of an at-large team was 104 (St. John's). * - denotes team with a higher pseudo-RPI than the natural cutoff for a 64-team tournament after automatic bids are used up [45]. ==== =============== ====== ======= == == === === == ===============