NCAA Baseball
Regional Results
2013

Current status: Super Regionals completed.

LSU, followed by UCLA, are the first in and will faced each other Sunday in the CWS.

New readers should consult a separate page that gives some general background information on the records, polls, RPI, ISR, etc information included in the table below. (An "N" indicates a "national" seed.) As usual, the polls and data are from from Monday, 27 May 2013, when the regional pairings and seedings were announced. Again, many thanks to Boyd Nation for the pseudo-RPI and ISR information generated from his database. We also have the official NCAA RPI available but that information is still only used in my discussion area.

The average (mean) ISR for the field is 112.0, plus or minus a standard deviation of 8.9.
The median ISR is 112.55.

The highest pseudo-RPI ranking without a bid was Nebraska (30). The lowest pseudo-RPI with an at-large bid was UC Santa Barbara (57), followed by Oklahoma State (52), New Mexico (51), and San Francisco (50). The highest ISR without a bid was UC Irvine (113.5). The lowest ISR with an at-large bid was William and Mary (107.7), far behind UNC-Wilmington (110.0).

Note: The NCAA identified the regions only by location, so the region numbering scheme is my own creation, reflecting the seeding of the associated super regional and identifying which of the two paired regionals has a top-8 nationally seeded team. The regional names are also my own, carrying on a tradition started by Craig Gowens (aka the perpetual "Commissioner of the SWC") on Usenet.

Super Regional Summary:

I order these results in almost the same way the NCAA does (they use 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3), reflecting the pairings in the CWS brackets.


       Super Regional 1:    S. Carolina   5   8   4  
                         at N. Carolina   6   0   5  ===>  meets 8


       Super Regional 8:    Rice       3   4   
                         at NC State   4   5(17)  ===>  meets 1


       Super Regional 4:    Oklahoma   0   1 
                         at LSU        2  11  ===>  meets 5


       Super Regional 5:    UCLA        5(10)  3  ===>  meets 4
                         at Fullerton   3      0 


            ==========================

       Super Regional 2:    Louisville   5   2  ===>  meets 7
                         at Vanderbilt   3   1  


       Super Regional 7:    Indiana     10  11  ===>  meets 2
                         at Florida St   9   6  


       Super Regional 3:    Kansas St   6   4   3   
                         at Oregon St   2  12   4  ===>  meets 6


       Super Regional 6:    Miss. St   11   6  ===>  meets 3
                         at Virginia    6   5  


            ==========================

Complete Results:

Note: All series start on Friday, 31 May. The order here is by national seed, not by future CWS pairing (which is the 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3 order used in NCAA brackets) or the seemingly random order resulting from alphabetizing them by the host city.


                       NCAA  Record   Polls  Boyd Nation
 Seed Team            Result W  L  T  CB BA   RPI   ISR   etc....
 ==== =============== ====== =======  == ==   ===   ===   =============== 

   Region 1 [Carolina I] - Chapel Hill, NC
   ---------------------   ---------------
 N1 * N. Carolina     WW LW  52- 8     3  5     1   130   ACC champ (Coast#1, #1)
  2   Fla Atlantic    LWWWL  39-20    -- 23    27   113   Sun Belt champ (#3t)
  3   Towson          WLL    29-28     .  .    89   102   Colonial champ (#5t)
  4   Canisius        LL     42-15     .  .    95   105   Metro Atl champ (#3t)

   Region 1a [Carolina II] - Columbia, SC
   -----------------------   ------------
  1 * S. Carolina     WW W   39-18    13 18    13   118   SEC (East #2)
  3   Liberty         WLWL   34-27     .  .    53   107   Big South champ (North #4)
  2   Clemson         LWL    39-20    17 22    14   118   ACC (Atl #3)
  4   St. Louis       LL     41-19     .  .    72   106   Atl 10 champ (#1t)

     ===>   Super Regional 1:    S. Carolina   5   8   4  
                              at N. Carolina   6   0   5  ===>  meets 8

            ==========================

   Region 2 [Mideast I] - Nashville, TN
   --------------------   -------------
 N1 * Vanderbilt      WW LW  51- 9     2  1     2   128   SEC (East #1, #1)
  2   Ga. Tech        LWWWL  34-25     .  .    23   114   ACC (Coast #4)
  3   Illinois        WLL    34-18     .  .    39   110   Big Ten (#5t)
  4   E. Tenn St      LL     36-22     .  .    83   106   Atl Sun champ (#4)

  Region 2a [Mideast II] - Louisville, KY
  ----------------------   --------------
  1 * Louisville      WW W   46-12     8 15    16   118   Big East (#1)
  3   Oklahoma St     LWWL   39-17    25 --    52   113   Big 12 (#2)
  2   Miami (FL)      WLL    36-23     .  .    19   115   ACC (Coast #5)
  4   Bowling Green   LL     24-29     .  .   201    94   MAC champ (East #4)

     ===>   Super Regional 2:    Louisville   5   2  ===>  meets 7
                              at Vanderbilt   3   1  

            ==========================

   Region 3 [Northwest] - Corvallis, OR
   --------------------   -------------
 N1 * Oregon St       WW W   45-10     5  4     5   127   Pac-12 champ (#1)
  2   Texas A&M       LWWL   32-27     .  .    33   112   SEC (West #6) left Big 12
  3   UC Santa Barb.  WLL    34-23     .  .    57   113   Big West (#2t)
  4   UT San Antonio  LL     35-23     .  .   108   107   WAC champ (#4)

   Region 3a [Central] - Manhattan, KS
   -------------------   -------------
  1 * Kansas St       WW W   41-17    15 13    17   116   Big 12 (#1)
  2   Arkansas        LWWL   37-20    12 12    31   115   SEC (West #2)
  3   Bryant          WLL    44-16     .  .    43   107   Northeast champ (#1)
  4   Wichita St      LL     39-26     .  .   103   107   Mo Valley champ (#2)

     ===>   Super Regional 3:    Kansas St   6   4   3   
                              at Oregon St   2  12   4  ===>  meets 6

            ==========================

   Region 4 [Bayou] - Baton Rouge, LA
   ----------------   ---------------
 N1 * LSU             WW W   52- 9     1  2     4   127   SEC champ (West #1)
  2   LA-Lafayette    LWWL   41-18     .  .    22   114   Sun Belt (#3t)
  3   Sam Houston St  WLL    37-20    28 --    47   111   Southland (#1)
  4   Jackson St      LL     34-20     .  .   250    91   SWAC champ (East #1)

   Region 4a [Mountain] - Blacksburg, VA
   --------------------   --------------
  2 * Oklahoma        WW W   40-19    20 19    35   113   Big 12 champ (#3)
  1   Va. Tech        LWWL   38-20    19 16    11   118   ACC (Coast #3)
  4   Connecticut     WLL    34-26     .  .    82   105   Big East champ (#8)
  3   Coastal Carol.  LL     37-21    29 --    48   110   Big South (South #1)

     ===>   Super Regional 4:    Oklahoma   0   1 
                              at LSU        2  11  ===>  meets 5

            ==========================

   Region 5 [Pacific I] - Fullerton, CA
   --------------------   -------------
 N1 * CSU,Fullerton   WW W   48- 8     4  3     6   129   Big West champ (#1)
  2   Arizona St      WLWL   35-20    16 24    21   117   Pac-12 (#4t)
  4   Columbia        LWL    27-19     .  .   102   101   Ivy champ (Lou Gehrig #1)
  3   New Mexico      LL     37-20    18 17    51   112   Mtn West (#1)

   Region 5a [Pacific II] - Los Angeles, CA 
   ----------------------   ---------------
  1 * UCLA            WW W   39-17    11 10    15   121   Pac-12 (#3)
  3   San Diego       LWWL   35-23    30 25    44   113   West Coast champ (#2t)
  2   Cal Poly        WLL    39-17    21 --    24   117   Big West (#2t)
  4   San Diego St    LL     31-29     .  .    88   108   Mtn West champ (#3)

     ===>   Super Regional 5:    UCLA        5(10)  3  ===>  meets 4
                              at Fullerton   3      0 

            ==========================

   Region 6 [East] - Charlottesville, VA
   ---------------   -------------------
 N1 * Virginia        WW W   47-10     6  6     3   126   ACC (Coast #2)
  3   Elon            WLWL   32-28     .  .    71   106   Southern champ (#2t)
  2   UNC-Wilmington  LWL    37-21     .  .    29   110   Colonial (#1)
  4   Army            LL     29-21     .  .   204    92   Patriot champ (#3)

  Region 6a [South] - Starkville, MS
  -----------------   --------------
  1 * Miss. St        WW LW  43-17    14 14    10   120   SEC (West #3)
  4   Central Ark.    LWWWL  39-20     .  .    62   109   Southland champ (#7)
  2   S. Alabama      WLL    42-18    27 --    18   115   Sun Belt (#1t)
  3   Mercer          LL     43-16     .  .    28   111   Atl Sun (#1)

     ===>   Super Regional 6:    Miss. St   11   6  ===>  meets 3
                              at Virginia    6   5  

            ==========================

   Region 7 [Swamp] - Tallahassee, FL
   ----------------   ---------------
 N1 * Florida St      WW W   44-15     9 11     8   122   ACC (Atl #1)
  3   Troy            WLWL   40-18    26 --    40   112   Sun Belt (#1t)
  2   Alabama         LWL    34-26     .  .    25   112   SEC (West #5)
  4   Savannah St     LL     33-21     .  .   180    96   MEAC champ (South #1)

   Region 7a [Midwest] - Bloomington, IN
   -------------------   ---------------
  1 * Indiana         WW W   43-14    22  8    12   118   Big Ten champ (#1)
  2   Austin-Peay     WLWL   45-13    -- 21    26   112   Ohio Valley champ (#2)
  4   Valparaiso      LWL    31-26     .  .   174    98   Horizon champ (#2t)
  3   Florida         LL     29-28     .  .    36   111   SEC (East #3)

     ===>   Super Regional 7:    Indiana     10  11  ===>  meets 2
                              at Florida St   9   6  

            ==========================

   Region 8 [West] - Eugene, OR
   ---------------   ----------
  2 * Rice            WW LW  41-17    23 20    32   114   Conf USA champ (#1t)
 N1   Oregon          WLWWL  45-14     7  9     9   125   Pac-12 (#2)
  3   San Francisco   LWL    34-22     .  .    50   113   West Coast (#2t)
  4   S. Dakota St    LL     35-22     .  .   170    96   Summit champ (#2)

   Region 8a [Southeast] - Raleigh, NC
   ---------------------   -----------
  1 * N.C. State      WW W   44-14    10  7     7   122   ACC (Atl #2)
  3   William & Mary  WLWL   37-22     .  .    45   108   Colonial (#2)
  2   Mississippi     LWL    37-22    24 --    20   116   SEC (West #4)
  4   Binghamton      LL     30-23     .  .   172    96   AmerEast champ (#2)

     ===>   Super Regional 8:    Rice       3   4   
                              at NC State   4   5(17)  ===>  meets 1

            ==========================

Related information:

In addition, I include the usual list of "bridesmaid" teams. Several of these were obvious, others stood out in Boyd's rankings, and some were picked to provide perspective. There are none missing with an ISR of 110 or above.

Decisive criteria listed by the NCAA selection committee in the past have included strength of non-conference schedule and performance in the conference tournament in addition to the overall season performance numbers we tabulate here.

Examination of past tournaments suggested that conference finish and/or conference tournament performance was generally the reason every team with a pseudo-RPI high enough to make the field strictly by the numbers (those marked with an "*") was left out by the committee. This might be the case for Campbell (which lost its conference tournament) but otherwise deserved to get in based on all of the other numbers, although a strength of schedule of 235 in Boyd's ISR data might be a better explanation.

UC Santa Barbara (RPI of 57, ISR 113, and 38 on strength of schedule) was presumably the last team added to the field, perhaps ahead of Stanford (RPI of 65, ISR 113, and 31 for strength of schedule). That must have been a real close call, along with New Mexico (RPI of 51, ISR 112, and 85 on strength of schedule), because Stanford had the same conference record as Arizona State (a 2nd seed in its regional) in a conference that had two national seeds! Was there an East coast team that the RPI put in ahead of them?

You can look at the various candidates below along with some provided simply for historical perspective.

   Overlooked ?   (ordered by ISR, records may not be accurate) 
   ----------

                             Record   Polls  Boyd Nation
 Seed Team                   W  L  T  CB BA   RPI   ISR   etc....
 ==== =============== ...... =======  == ==   ===   ===   ===============
  X   UC Irvine              33-22     .  .    80   114   Big West (#4t)
  X   Stanford               32-22     .  .    65   113   Pac-12 (#4t)
  X*  Campbell               49-10     .  .    42   113   Big South (North #1, #1)
      Arizona                34-21     .  .    60   112   Pac-12 (#6)
      UNLV                   37-20     .  .    81   112   Mtn West (#2)
      Brigham Young          32-21     .  .    59   112   West Coast (#2t)
  *   Auburn                 33-23     .  .    41   111   SEC (West #7)
      Kentucky               30-25     .  .    49   110   SEC (East #4)
      Long Beach St          29-27     .  .    70   110   Big West (#4t)
  *   Maryland               30-25     .  .    37   110   ACC (Atl #4)
      W. Carolina            39-20     .  .    56   110   Southern (#1)
  *   Seton Hall             37-19     .  .    38   110   Big East (#2t)
      Gonzaga                32-21     .  .   109   110   West Coast (#1)
      Michigan St            33-17     .  .    46   110   Big Ten (#7)
      CSU,Northridge         31-26     .  .   100   110   Big West (#4t)
      Pittsburgh             42-17     .  .    61   110   Big East (#2t)
      North Florida          40-19     .  .    64   109   Atl Sun (#3)

      Wake Forest            28-27     .  .    58   108   ACC (Atl #5)
      Creighton              30-18     .  .    55   108   Mo Valley (#3)
  *   Notre Dame             34-24     .  .    34   108   Big East (#6)
  *   Nebraska               29-30     .  .    30   108   Big Ten (#2t)
      FL Gulf Coast          37-20     .  .    79   108   Atl Sun (#2)
      Texas                  27-24     .  .    75   108   Big 12 (#9)
      Baylor                 27-28     .  .    78   108   Big 12 (#5)
      SE Louisiana           36-24     .  .    54   106   Southland (#3t)
      Southern Miss          30-27     .  .   107   106   Conf USA (#1t)
      Georgia                21-32     .  .   128   103   SEC (East #7)
      Tx-Arlingtion          31-27     .  .   150   103   WAC (#1t)
      Central Fla            29-30     .  .   142   102   Conf USA (#5t)
      Dallas Baptist         30-30     .  .   159   102   WAC (#6t) was Indep
      Longwood               26-28     .  .   146    98   Big South (North #5) was Indep
      Houston Baptist        34-24     .  .   190    96   Great West champ (#2) NO BID
      Northern Colo          33-24     .  .   193    95   Great West (#1)

      NJ Tech                20-34     .  .   278    82   Great West (#6)
      Brown                   7-33     .  .   286    81   Ivy (Red Rolfe #4)
      N. Kentucky             8-47     .  .   284    80   Atl Sun (#10)
      Florida A&M             7-47     .  .   280    78   MEAC (South #5)
      Coppin St              18-33     .  .   291    76   MEAC (North #3)
      Mount St. Mary's       11-37     .  .   293    74   Northeast (#9)
      Iona                    8-43     .  .   292    74   Metro Atl (#9)
      Alabama A&M             8-40     .  .   294    72   SWAC (East #4)
      Chicago St              9-41     .  .   296    72   Great West (#8)
      NY Tech                10-47     .  .   295    71   Great West (#7)
      Miss Valley St          5-44     .  .   298    68   SWAC (East #5)
      UMES                    8-45     .  .   297    66   MEAC (North #4)

 ---------------

  X - denotes team with Boyd's computer ranking above the 112.55 
      median for regional tournament teams.  The lowest ISR of an 
      at-large team was 108.

  * - denotes team with a higher pseudo-RPI than the natural cutoff 
      for a 64-team tournament after automatic bids are used up [45]. 

 ==== =============== ====== =======  == ==  === ===  ==  ===============