NCAA Baseball
Regional Results
2015

Current status: Super Regionals complete.

Regional data need final check.

New readers should consult a separate page that gives some general background information on the records, polls, RPI, ISR, etc information included in the table below. (An "N" indicates a "national" seed.) As usual, the polls and data are from from Monday, 25 May 2015, when the regional pairings and seedings were announced. Again, many thanks to Boyd Nation for the pseudo-RPI and ISR information generated from his database. We also have the official NCAA RPI available but that information is still only used in my discussion area.

The average (mean) ISR for the field is 111.8, plus or minus a standard deviation of 8.3.
The median ISR is 112.80.

The highest pseudo-RPI ranking without a bid was North Carolina (29), followed by Georgia Tech (38) and Ohio State (41). The lowest pseudo-RPI with an at-large bid was Oregon (62) followed by Clemson (56). The highest ISR without a bid was Nevada (115.1, pRPI=55). The lowest ISR with an at-large bid was Clemson (109.9), just behind South Florida (110.4) along with Tulane (111.5), Mississippi (111.5), and Bradley (111.8).

Note: The NCAA identified the regions only by location, so the region numbering scheme is my own creation, reflecting the seeding of the associated super regional and identifying which of the two paired regionals has a top-8 nationally seeded team. The regional names are also my own, carrying on a tradition started by Craig Gowens (aka the perpetual "Commissioner of the SWC") on Usenet that preserves some traditional names plus some old school snarky ones.

Super Regional Summary:

Will appear here after the regional playoffs are complete.

Complete Results:

Note: All series start on Friday, 29 May. The order here is by national seed, not by future CWS pairing (which is the 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3 order used in NCAA brackets) or the seemingly random order resulting from alphabetizing them by the host city.


                       NCAA  Record   Polls  Boyd Nation
 Seed Team            Result W  L  T  CB BA   RPI   ISR   etc....
 ==== =============== ====== =======  == ==   ===   ===   =============== 

   Region 1 [Pacific I] - Los Angeles, CA
   --------------------   ---------------
  3 * Maryland        WW LW  39-21    -- --    42   112   Big Ten (#3t)
 N1   UCLA            WLWWL  42-14     2  2     4   124   Pac-12 champ (#1)
  4   CSU,Bakersfield LWL    36-22     .  .   118   105   WAC champ (#3, first bid)
  2   Mississippi     LL     30-26     .  .    31   112   SEC (West#4, #6)

   Region 1a [Pacific II] - Lake Elsinore, CA
   ----------------------   -----------------
  3 * Virginia        WW W   34-22    -- --    21   113   ACC (Coast #2)
  2   Southern Cal    LWWL   37-19    17 15    23   117   Pac-12 (#3t)
  4   San Diego St    WLL    40-21     .  .    76   112   Mtn West champ (#2)
  1   UC SantaBarbara LL     40-15    14 16    19   118   Big West (#2)

    Note: Super Regional played at Charlottesville, VA but Maryland was home team for first game.

     ===>   Super Regional 1:    Virginia   5   5  ==>  meets 8  
                              at Maryland   3   4  

            ==========================

   Region 2 [Bayou I] - Baton Rouge, LA
   ------------------   ---------------
 N1 * LSU             WW W   48-10     1  1     5   124   SEC (West#1, #1)
  2   UNC-Wilmington  WLWL   39-16     .  .    27   112   Colonial champ (#2)
  3   Tulane          LWL    34-23     .  .    43   112   American (#3t)
  4   Lehigh          LL     25-27     .  .   240    85   Patriot champ (#2t)

  Region 2a [Bayou II] - Houston, TX
  --------------------   -----------
  3 * U LA-Lafayette  WW W   39-21     .  .    49   111   Sun Belt champ (#3)
  2   Rice            LWWL   35-20    26 --    34   114   Conf USA (#1)
  1   Houston         WLL    42-18    19 13    14   117   American (#1)
  4   Houston Baptist LL     28-25     .  .   133   103   Southland champ (#7, first bid)

    20 inning game took 6 hours and 2 minutes. 
    Losing pitcher went 9 innings and winner went 9.1 innings ... in relief!

    Rice     000 020 000 000 000 000 00  -  3 15 1
    Houston  000 010 010 000 000 000 01  -  2 11 4   Houston eliminated 

     ===>   Super Regional 2:    U LA-Lafayette   3   3   
                              at LSU              4   9  ==>  meets 7

            ==========================

   Region 3 [East] - Louisville, KY
   ---------------   -------------
 N1 * Louisville      WW W   43-16     5  9    13   119   ACC (Atl#1, #1)
  3   Michigan        WLWL   37-23     .  .    60   110   Big Ten champ (#3t)
  2   Bradley         LWL    31-19     .  .    20   112   Mo-Valley (#3)
  4   Morehead St     LL     38-20     .  .   112   104   OhioVal champ (#2)

   Region 3a [West] - Fullerton, CA
   ----------------   -------------
  1 * CSU,Fullerton   WW W   34-22    13 21    25   115   Big West champ (#1)
  4   Pepperdine      LWWL   30-27     .  .   114   106   West Coast champ (#2)
  2   Arizona St      WLL    34-21    18 19    35   115   Pac-12 (#5)
  3   Clemson         LL     32-27    28 --    56   110   ACC (Atl #4)


     ===>   Super Regional 3:    CSU,Fullerton   3   3   4  ==>  meets 6
                              at Louisville      2   9   3  

            ==========================

   Region 4 [Swamp I] - Gainesville, FL
   ------------------   ---------------
 N1 * Florida         WW W   44-16     7  3     3   121   SEC champ (East#2, #4)
  2   Fla Atlantic    LWWL   40-17    27 --    16   117   Conf USA (#2t)
  3   South Florida   WLL    33-24     .  .    28   110   American (#3t)
  4   Florida A&M     LL     23-23     .  .   229    91   MEAC champ (South#1,#2, first bid)

   Region 4a [Swamp II] - Tallahassee, FL
   --------------------   ---------------
  1 * Florida St      WW W   41-19    10 10     9   119   ACC champ (Atl #2t)
  2   C of Charleston WLWL   43-13    25 18    17   116   Colonial (#1)
  3   Auburn          LWL    35-24     .  .    22   113   SEC (West#5, #9t)
  4   Mercer          LL     35-21     .  .   107   104   Southern champ (#1)


     ===>   Super Regional 4:    Florida St   5   4  
                              at Florida     13  11  ==>  meets 5

            ==========================

   Region 5 [Atlantic] - Coral Gables, FL
   -------------------   ----------------
 N1 * Miami (FL)      WW LW  44-14     6 12     1   122   ACC (Coast#1, #2)
  3   Columbia        WLWWL  29-15     .  .    65   106   Ivy champ (Gehrig #1t)
  4   FL Internatnal  LWL    29-29     .  .   142   102   Conf USA champ (#7t)
  2   East Carolina   LL     40-20    -- 23    24   113   American champ (#2)

   Region 5a [Central II] - Dallas, TX 
   ----------------------   ----------
  4 * Va Commnwealth  WW LW  37-22     .  .    93   103   Atl-10 champ (#4)
  1   Dallas Baptist  LWWWL  43-13    24 14     2   121   Mo-Valley (#2)
  2   Oregon St       WLL    38-16    12 17    32   118   Pac-12 (#2)
  3   Texas           LL     30-25    30 --    86   110   Big 12 champ (#5)


     ===>   Super Regional 5:    Va Commonwealth   2    3  
                              at Miami (FL)        3   10  ==>  meets 4

            ==========================

   Region 6 [North] - Champaign, IL
   ----------------   -------------
 N1 * Illinois        WW W   46- 8     3  4    11   122   Big Ten (#1)
  3   Wright St       LWWL   42-14     .  .    44   112   Horizon champ (#2)
  2   Notre Dame      WLL    36-21    23 --    40   114   ACC (Atl #2t)
  4   Ohio            LL     36-19     .  .   123   104   MAC champ (East#2, first bid)

  Region 6a [Mideast] - Nashville, TN 
  -------------------   -------------
  1 * Vanderbilt      WW W   42-19     8  5    10   120   SEC (East#1, #2)
  2   Radford         LWWL   43-14    22 22    15   115   Big South champ (#1, first bid)
  3   Indiana         WLL    34-22     .  .    33   113   Big Ten (#7)
  4   Lipscomb        LL     39-18     .  .    71   108   Atl Sun champ (#2)

    Championship game found Radford with no pitching and poor fielding.  Record? 

    Vanderbilt  324 1 10 0 000  -  21 20  0
    Radford     000 0  0 0 000  -   0  3  6


     ===>   Super Regional 6:    Vanderbilt   13   4  ==>  meets 3
                              at Illinois      0   2   

            ==========================

   Region 7 [Central I] - Fort Worth, TX
   --------------------   --------------
 N1 * TCU             WLWWW  43-11     4  7     8   123   Big 12 (#1)
  2   NC State        WW LL  34-21     .  .    26   113   ACC (Atl #5)
  3   Stony Brook     LWL    34-14     .  .    53   106   AmerEast champ (#1)
  4   Sacred Heart    LL     23-30     .  .   221    87   Northeast champ (#3)

   Region 7a [South] - College Station, TX
   -----------------   -------------------
  1 * Texas A&M       WLWWW  45-11     9  8     6   122   SEC (West#2, #3)
  3   California      WW LL  34-19    16 25    39   116   Pac-12 (#3t)
  2   Coastal Car     LWL    38-19     .  .    18   114   Big South (#2)
  4   Texas Southern  LL     31-17     .  .   158    99   SWAC champ (West#2, #3)


     ===>   Super Regional 7:    Texas A&M   4   2   4   
                              at TCU        13   1   5  ==>  meets 2

            ==========================

   Region 8 [Midwest I] - Springfield, MO
   --------------------   ---------------
 N1 * Missouri St     WW W   45-10    11  6     7   122   Mo-Valley champ (#1)
  2   Iowa            WLWL   36-16    20 24    30   114   Big Ten (#2)
  3   Oregon          LWL    37-23     .  .    62   113   Pac-12 (#6)
  4   Canisius        LL     34-28     .  .   196    95   Metro Atl champ (#2)

   Region 8a [Midwest II] - Stillwater, OK
   ----------------------   --------------
  2 * Arkansas        WW W   35-22    29 20    36   114   SEC (West#3, #5)
  4   St. John's (NY) LWWL   39-14    21 --    67   107   Big East champ (#1)
  1   Oklahoma St     WLL    37-18    15 11    12   119   Big 12 (#2)
  3   Oral Roberts    LL     41-14     .  .    37   113   Summit champ (#1)

  Note: Super Regional played at Fayetteville, AR because Missouri State could not host.

     ===>   Super Regional 8:    Arkansas     18   1   3  ==>  meets 1 
                              at Missouri St   4   3   2 

            ==========================

Related information:

In addition, I include the usual list of "bridesmaid" teams. Several of these were obvious, others stood out in Boyd's rankings, and some were picked to provide perspective. There are none missing from the top 60 in the pRPI or with an ISR of 110 or above, which covers the top 60 in that system.

Decisive criteria listed by the NCAA selection committee in the past have included strength of non-conference schedule and performance in the conference tournament in addition to the overall season performance numbers we tabulate here.

Examination of past tournaments suggested that conference finish was undoubtedly the reason every team with a pseudo-RPI high enough to make the field strictly by the numbers (those marked with an "*") was left out by the committee. This is clearly the case for N. Carolina and Georgia Tech (both finished under 0.500 in the ACC), but Ohio State must have been a more subjective situation because Indiana was behind them in the conference standings but had a better RPI (33 versus 41).

Oregon (pRPI=62) and Clemson (pRPI=56) were probably the last teams added to the field as #3 seeds. Nevada might have been more deserving, but were hurt when they lost the tournament in a conference that doesn't get much respect.


... RPI analysis NOT complete ...


   Overlooked ?   (ordered by ISR, records may not be accurate) 
   ----------

                             Record   Polls  Boyd Nation
 Seed Team                   W  L  T  CB BA   RPI   ISR   etc....
 ==== =============== ...... =======  == ==   ===   ===   ===============
  X   Nevada                 41-15    --  .    55   115   Mtn West (#1)
      Southern Miss          36-18     .  .    54   113   Conf USA (#3)
      UC Irvine              33-23     .  .    46   113   Big West (#3)
   *  Ohio State             35-20     .  .    41   113   Big Ten (#6)
      North Florida          45-16     .  .    45   112   Atl Sun (#1)
   *  N. Carolina            34-24     .  .    29   112   ACC (Coast #3)
      Nebraska               34-23     .  .    48   112   Big Ten (#8)
      SE Louisiana           42-17     .  .    52   112   Southland (#1)
   *  Georgia Tech           32-23     .  .    38   111   ACC (Coast #5)
      Michigan St            34-23     .  .    51   111   Big Ten (#5)
      San Diego              33-22     .  .    85   110   West Coast (#1)
      Texas Tech             31-24     .  .    77   110   Big 12 (#3t)
      Oklahoma               34-27     .  .    84   110   Big 12 (#3t)
      Alabama                32-28     .  .    47   110   SEC (West#6, #11)
      Memphis                37-21     .  .    72   110   American (#5)
      South Carolina         32-25     .  .    63   110   SEC (East#5, #9t)

      Connecticut            35-25     .  .    50   109   American (#6)
      Kentucky               30-25     .  .    59   109   SEC (East#4, #8)
      Washington             29-25     .  .    90   109   Pac-12 (#7)
      Duke                   31-22     .  .    61   109   ACC (Coast #6)
      South Alabama          37-20     .  .    81   109   Sun Belt (#1)
      Missouri               29-28     .  .    57   108   SEC (East#3, #7)
      Central Fla            31-27     .  .    58   108   American (#7)
      Creighton              32-19     .  .    69   107   Big East (#2)
      Winthrop               40-19     .  .    79   107   Big South (#3t)
      Liberty                33-23     .  .    64   107   Big South (#3t)
      Central Mich           35-22     .  .    99   106   MAC (West #1)
      Virginia Tech          27-27     .  .    73   105   ACC (Coast #4)
      Grand Canyon           32-22     .  .   120   105   WAC (#1)
      SE Mo State            36-23     .  .   108   105   OhioVal (#1)
      Wichita St             26-33     .  .   109   104   Mo-Valley (#4)
      Ill-Chicago            29-22     .  .   149   102   Horizon (#1)
      Tx-Arlingtion          24-32     .  .   147   100   Sun Belt (#6t)
      Rider                  28-22     .  .   106    98   Metro Atl (#1)

      Longwood               22-34     .  .   178    93   Big South (#8) was Indep
      Navy                   37-20     .  .   220    92   Patriot (#1)
      Utah Valley            19-35     .  .   258    90   WAC (#6) was in Great West
      NJ Tech                24-23     .  .   257    88   Independent (#1)
      Northern Colo          16-32     .  .   290    84   WAC (#7) was in Great West
      Chicago St             13-40     .  .   294    81   WAC (#9) was in Great West
      Princeton               7-32     .  .   268    81   Ivy (Gehrig#4, #8)
      NY Tech                14-30     .  .   277    80   Independent (#2)
      Alcorn St              16-41     .  .   291    80   SWAC (East#4, #7t)
      Grambling State        11-39     .  .   292    79   SWAC (West#4, #7t)
      LIU Brooklyn           16-35     .  .   285    79   Northeast (#7)
      Niagara                13-32     .  .   295    77   Metro Atl (#10)
      UMES                   16-33     .  .   283    76   MEAC (North#2, #3t)
      St. Peter's            10-38     .  .   293    75   Metro Atl (#11)
      Mount St. Mary's       12-31     .  .   296    75   Northeast (#5)
      Miss Valley St          7-36     .  .   299    75   SWAC (East#5, #10)
      N Carolina A&T         10-36     .  .   298    74   MEAC (South#5, #8)
      Prairie View A&M       15-36     .  .   300    74   SWAC (West#5, #9)
      Delaware St            16-29     .  .   297    73   MEAC (North#3, #5)
      Coppin St               3-38     .  .   301    59   MEAC (North#4, #9)

 ---------------

  X - denotes team with Boyd's computer ranking above the 11x.xx 
      median for regional tournament teams.  The lowest ISR of an 
      at-large team was 1xx.

  * - denotes team with a higher pseudo-RPI than the natural cutoff 
      for a 64-team tournament after automatic bids are used up [42]. 

 ==== =============== ====== =======  == ==  === ===  ==  ===============

Move the following to the top when regionals are over.

Super Regional Summary:

I order these results in almost the same way the NCAA does (they use 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3), reflecting the pairings in the CWS brackets.
Note: The "at" team is home for first game and visitor for second game.


       Super Regional 1:    Virginia   5   5  ==>  meets 8  
                         at Maryland   3   4 


       Super Regional 8:    Arkansas     18   1   3  ==>  meets 1 
                         at Missouri St   4   3   2 


       Super Regional 4:    Florida St   5   4  
                         at Florida     13  11  ==>  meets 5


       Super Regional 5:    Va Commonwealth   2    3  
                         at Miami (FL)        3   10  ==>  meets 4


            ==========================

       Super Regional 2:    U LA-Lafayette   3   3   
                         at LSU              4   9  ==>  meets 7


       Super Regional 7:    Texas A&M   4   2   4   
                         at TCU        13   1   5  ==>  meets 2


       Super Regional 3:    CSU,Fullerton   3   3   4  ==>  meets 6
                         at Louisville      2   9   3 


       Super Regional 6:    Vanderbilt   13   4  ==>  meets 3
                         at Illinois      0   2



            ==========================