Current status:
Super Regionals are complete.
The ACC and SEC were surprised by the Pac 12, Big 12, Big South, and Big West.
New readers should consult a separate page that gives some general background information on the records, polls, RPI, ISR, etc information included in the table below. (An "N" indicates a "national" seed.) As usual, the polls and data are from from Monday, 30 May 2016, when the regional pairings and seedings were announced. Again, many thanks to Boyd Nation for the pseudo-RPI and ISR information generated from his database. We also have the official NCAA RPI available but that information is still only used in my discussion area.
The average (mean) ISR for the field is 112.1,
plus or minus a standard deviation of 7.8.
The median ISR is 113.35.
The highest pseudo-RPI ranking without a bid was North Carolina (19). The lowest pseudo-RPI with an at-large bid was Washington (55), although Long Beach State (52) was close to the last team in. There were a couple of inversions this year, the most extreme being Minnesota (50) seeded above Wake Forest (25). The highest ISR without a bid was Oregon St (115.9), followed by North Carolina (115.8) and California (114.5). The lowest ISR with an at-large bid was UNC-Wilmington (110.2), with Minnesota (110.4), Boston College (110.6), and East Carolina (110.7) not far away.
Note: The NCAA identified the regions only by location, so the region numbering scheme is my own creation, reflecting the seeding of the associated super regional and identifying which of the two paired regionals has a top-8 nationally seeded team. The regional names are also my own, carrying on a tradition started by Craig Gowens (aka the perpetual "Commissioner of the SWC") on Usenet.
Super Regional Summary:
I order these results in almost the same way the NCAA does (they use 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3), reflecting the pairings in the CWS brackets.
Super Regional 1: Florida St 3 0 0
at Florida 0 5 7 ==> meets 8
Super Regional 8: Cstl Carol 11 4 ==> meets 1
at LSU 8 3
Super Regional 4: TCU 8 1 4 ==> meets 5
at Texas A&M 2 7 1
Super Regional 5: E Carolina 8 1 0
at Texas Tech 6 3 11 ==> meets 4
==========================
Super Regional 2: UCSB 4 4 ==> meets 7
at Louisville 2 3
Super Regional 7: Oklahoma St 5 3 ==> meets 2
at So Carolina 1 1
Super Regional 3: Boston College 7 5 4
at Miami 12 3 9 ==> meets 6
Super Regional 6: Arizona 1 6 ==> meets 3
at Miss State 0 5
==========================
Complete Results:
Note: All series start on Friday, 3 June. The order here is by national seed, not by future CWS pairing (which is the 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3 order used in NCAA brackets) or the seemingly random order resulting from alphabetizing them by the host city.
NCAA Record Polls Boyd Nation
Seed Team Result W L T CB BA RPI ISR etc....
==== =============== ====== ======= == == === === ===============
Region 1 [Swamp I] - Gainesville, FL
------------------ ---------------
N1 * Florida WW W 47-13 2 2 1 126 SEC (4, East #2)
2 Georgia Tech LWWL 36-23 . . 20 114 ACC (9, Coastal #4)
3 Connecticut WLL 37-23 . . 51 109 American champ (#3)
4 Bethune-Cookmn LL 29-25 . . 162 96 MEAC champ (3, Southern #2)
Region 1a [Swamp II] - Tallahassee, FL
-------------------- ---------------
1 * Florida St WW W 37-20 12 13 13 117 ACC (4, Atlantic #2)
3 So Alabama LWWL 40-20 . . 49 112 Sun Belt (#1t)
2 So. Miss. WLL 40-18 24 18 18 117 Conf USA champ (#3)
4 Alabama St LL 38-15 . . 158 100 SWAC champ (1, East #1)
===> Super Regional 1: Florida St 3 0 0
at Florida 0 5 7 ==> meets 8
==========================
Region 2 [Mideast] - Louisville, KY
------------------ --------------
N1 * Louisville WW W 47-12 5 7 2 126 ACC (2, Atlantic #1)
3 Wright St LWWL 44-15 . . 41 113 Horizon champ (#1)
2 Ohio State WLL 43-18-1 30 23 33 113 Big Ten champ (#3t)
4 Western Mich LL 22-32 . . 218 92 MAC champ (7, West #4)
Region 2a [Midsouth] - Nashville, TN
-------------------- -------------
2 * UC Santa Barb WW W 37-18-1 -- -- 23 116 Big West (#3)
4 Xavier WLWL 30-28 . . 79 103 Big East champ (#1)
3 Washington LWL 32-21 21 -- 55 114 Pac-12 (#2)
1 Vanderbilt LL 43-17 10 12 9 121 SEC (6t, East #3)
===> Super Regional 2: UCSB 4 4 ==> meets 7
at Louisville 2 3
** UCSB wins 2nd game with a pinch-hit walk-off grand slam home run to
get them to their first CWS in their first Super Regional appearance!
==========================
Region 3 [Atlantic] - Coral Gables, FL
------------------- ----------------
N1 * Miami (FL) WW W 45-11 3 3 3 125 ACC (1, Coastal #1)
3 Long Beach St WLWL 36-20 29 -- 52 113 Big West (#2)
2 Fla Atlantic LWL 38-17 27 17 27 115 Conf USA (#1)
4 Stetson LL 29-29 . . 150 98 Atl Sun champ (#5t)
Region 3a [South II] - Oxford, MS
-------------------- ----------
3 * Boston College WW W 31-20 -- -- 39 111 ACC (8, Atlantic #5)
2 Tulane LWWL 39-19 22 16 29 114 American (#1)
4 Utah WLL 25-27 20 -- 93 108 Pac-12 champ (#1)
1 Mississippi LL 43-17 16 6 5 121 SEC (6t, West #4)
===> Super Regional 3: Boston College 7 5 4
at Miami 12 3 9 ==> meets 6
==========================
Region 4 [Central I] - College Station, TX
-------------------- -------------------
N1 * Texas A&M WW W 45-14 1 1 4 125 SEC champ (3, West #2)
2 Minnesota LWWL 34-20 . . 50 110 Big Ten (#1)
3 Wake Forest WLL 34-25 . . 25 111 ACC (10t, Atlantic #6)
4 Binghamton LL 30-23 . . 109 98 Amer East champ (#1)
Region 4a [Central II] - Fort Worth, TX
---------------------- --------------
1 * TCU WW W 42-15 13 10 16 121 Big 12 champ (#3)
2 Arizona St LWWL 34-21 25 -- 43 114 Pac-12 (#3t)
3 Gonzaga WLL 35-19 . . 30 115 West Coast (#1t)
4 Oral Roberts LL 38-19 . . 59 108 Summit champ (#1)
===> Super Regional 4: TCU 8 1 4 ==> meets 5
at Texas A&M 2 7 1
==========================
Region 5 [West] - Lubbock, TX
--------------- -----------
N1 * Texas Tech WW LW 41-16 7 8 14 120 Big 12 (#1)
2 Dallas Baptist LWWWL 41-17 19 25 22 115 MoValley champ (#1)
3 New Mexico WLL 38-21 . . 48 113 Mtn West champ (#2t)
4 Fairfield LL 32-24 . . 183 95 Metro Atl champ (#1)
Region 5a [Northeast] - Charlottesville, VA
--------------------- -------------------
3 * E Carolina WW W 34-21-1 -- -- 35 111 American (#2)
4 William & Mary LWWL 29-29 . . 99 101 Colonial champ (#2)
1 Virginia WLL 37-20 8 11 17 115 ACC (3, Coastal #2)
2 Bryant LL 47-10 28 20 28 111 Northeast champ (#1)
===> Super Regional 5: E Carolina 8 1 0
at Texas Tech 6 3(13) 11 ==> meets 4
==========================
Region 6 [South I] - Starkville, MS
------------------ --------------
N1 * Mississippi St WW W 41-16-1 4 4 11 121 SEC (1, West #1)
3 Louisiana Tech LWWL 40-18 . . 31 115 Conf USA (#5)
2 CSU,Fullerton WLL 35-21 23 21 42 115 Big West champ (#1)
4 SE Missouri St LL 39-19 . . 54 109 Ohio Valley champ (#1)
Region 6a [Bayou II] - Lafayette, LA
-------------------- -------------
2 * Arizona WLWWW 38-20 26 -- 21 118 Pac-12 (#3t)
1 U LA-Lafayette WW LL 41-19 14 19 15 116 Sun Belt champ (#1t)
3 Sam Houston St LWL 41-20 . . 36 113 Southland champ (#1)
4 Princeton LL 24-19 . . 105 99 Ivy champ (1, Gehrig #1)
===> Super Regional 6: Arizona 1 6(11) ==> meets 3
at Miss State 0 5
==========================
Region 7 [Coastal I] - Clemson, SC
-------------------- -----------
2 * Oklahoma St WW W 36-20 18 24 32 115 Big 12 (#2)
N1 Clemson WLWL 42-18 11 9 6 119 ACC champ (6, Atlantic #4)
4 Western Carol LWL 30-29 . . 104 102 Southern champ (#2t)
3 Nebraska LL 37-20 . . 47 112 Big Ten (#2)
Region 7a [Coastal II] - Columbia, SC
---------------------- ------------
1 * So. Carolina LWWWW 42-15 6 14 8 120 SEC (2, East #1)
2 UNC-Wilmington WW LL 39-17 . . 34 110 Colonial (#1)
4 Rhode Island WLL 30-25 . . 113 99 Atl 10 champ (#1)
3 Duke LL 33-22 . . 26 112 ACC (7, Coastal #3)
===> Super Regional 7: Oklahoma St 5 3 ==> meets 2
at So Carolina 1 1
==========================
Region 8 [Bayou I] - Baton Rouge, LA
------------------ ---------------
N1 * LSU WW LW 42-18 9 5 7 120 SEC (5, West #3)
2 Rice WLWWL 35-22 . . 24 114 Conf USA (#4)
3 SE Louisiana LWL 39-19 . . 40 113 Southland (#2)
4 Utah Valley LL 37-21 . . 130 106 WAC champ (#3)
Region 8a [East] - Raleigh, NC
---------------- -----------
2 * Coastal Carol WW LW 44-15 15 15 12 116 Big South champ (#1)
1 NC State WLWWL 35-20 17 22 10 117 ACC (5, Atlantic #3)
4 Navy LWL 42-14 . . 143 101 Patriot champ (#1)
3 St. Mary's(CA) LL 33-23 . . 57 112 West Coast champ (#1t)
===> Super Regional 8: Cstl Carol 11 4 ==> meets 1
at LSU 8 3
==========================
Related information:
In addition, I include the usual list of "bridesmaid" teams. Several of these were obvious, others stood out in Boyd's rankings, and some were picked to provide perspective. There are none missing with an ISR of 110 or above, so the list covers the entire range of teams that got in as at-large picks.
Decisive criteria listed by the NCAA selection committee in the past have included strength of non-conference schedule and performance in the conference tournament in addition to the overall season performance numbers we tabulate here.
Examination of past tournaments suggested that conference finish was undoubtedly the reason every team with a pseudo-RPI high enough to make the field strictly by the numbers (those marked with an "*") was left out by the committee. This is obviously the case for North Carolina (edged out by Wake Forest, which was tied with UNC in conference play for the 10th bid of 14 ACC teams) and also Georgia (11-19 in the SEC). However, that was probably not the case for Creighton (13-5 to finish 2nd of 7 in the Big East), Michigan (above 0.500 to finish 5th of 13 in the Big Ten), or Oregon State (above 0.500 to finish 5th of 11 in the Pac-12). Oregon State was tied with Arizona, who made it to the CWS championship game! Those must have been left out because of the perceived conference strength, although Xavier's run in the regionals, beating #1 seed Vanderbilt, not to mention Arizona's run through the entire tournament, might call that judgment into question.
Third-seeded Washingon (55 in the pRPI, ISR=113.8), was probably the last team added to the field along with Long Beach State (pRPI=52, ISR=113.4).
... RPI analysis IN PROGRESS ...
Overlooked ? (ordered by ISR, records may not be accurate)
----------
Record Polls Boyd Nation
Seed Team W L T CB BA RPI ISR etc....
==== =============== ...... ======= == == === === ===============
X* Oregon St 33-19 . . 44 116 Pac-12 (#3t)
X* N Carolina 34-21 . . 19 116 ACC (10t, Coastal #5)
X California 30-21 . . 68 114 Pac-12 (#8t)
X BYU 37-17 . . 56 114 West Coast (#1t)
Stanford 30-23 . . 73 113 Pac-12 (#6t)
West Virginia 36-22 . . 62 112 Big 12 (#4)
* Michigan 36-20 . . 38 111 Big Ten (#5)
Oregon 29-26 . . 84 111 Pac-12 (#8t)
Kent State 42-12 . . 71 111 MAC (1, East #1)
Houston 35-22 . . 58 111 American (#5)
So. California 28-28 . . 78 110 Pac-12 (#6t)
Lamar 35-19 . . 75 110 Southland (#3t)
Alabama 32-26 . . 61 110 SEC (8t, West #5)
Missouri St 37-20 . . 87 110 MoValley (#7t)
Michigan State 36-18 . . 77 110 Big Ten (#6t)
Fresno State 36-22 . . 92 110 Mtn West (#1)
Kentucky 32-35 . . 66 109 SEC (8t, East #4)
Northwestern St 33-24 . . 46 109 Southland (#3t)
* Creighton 37-16 . . 45 109 Big East (#2)
* Georgia 27-30 . . 37 109 SEC (10, East #5)
Oklahoma 30-27-1 . . 70 109 Big 12 (#5)
Marshall 34-20 . . 63 109 Conf USA (#2)
UCLA 25-29 . . 102 108 Pac-12 (#10)
Illinois 28-23 . . 53 107 Big Ten (#8t)
Cal Poly 32-25 . . 124 107 Big West (#4t)
Seattle 37-21 . . 112 107 WAC (#1)
Indiana 32-24 . . 100 107 Big Ten (#3t)
Maryland 30-26 . . 60 107 Big Ten (#6t)
North Florida 39-18 . . 64 107 Atl Sun (#2)
Tx-Arlingtion 30-28 . . 97 106 Sun Belt (#7)
Notre Dame 27-27 . . 96 106 ACC (12, Atlantic #7)
Texas 24-31 . . 133 106 Big 12 (#7) and Garrido retires ...
Mercer 38-23 . . 94 105 Southern (#1)
C of Charlestn 31-26 . . 67 105 Colonial (#6)
Baylor 24-29 . . 116 105 Big 12 (#6)
New Mexico St 34-23 . . 146 104 WAC (#2)
Bradley 25-20 . . 111 104 MoValley (#3)
Cincinnati 26-30-1 . . 120 103 American (#4)
Kennesaw St 29-27 . . 163 100 Atl Sun (#1)
St. John's (NY) 28-25 . . 137 99 Big East (#4)
Florida A&M 31-21 . . 134 99 MEAC (1t, South #1)
Houston Baptist 24-29 . . 192 98 Southland (#10)
South Florida 24-33 . . 168 98 American (#7)
Longwood 32-27 . . 157 96 Big South (#2t)
N. Kentucky 20-34 . . 245 91 Horizon (#6)
Northern Colo 15-32 . . 267 89 WAC (#5t)
Brown 15-24 . . 236 88 Ivy (#6t)
Ark-Pine Bluff 22-25 . . 271 88 SWAC (2, West #1)
Norfolk St 29-21 . . 269 86 MEAC (1t, North #1)
NY Tech 17-26 . . 280 82 Independent (only one)
NJ Tech 16-36 . . 266 82 Atl Sun (#8)
Chicago St 12-41 . . 293 81 WAC (#9)
North Dakota 7-37 . . 290 80 WAC (#10)
Iona 11-39 . . 285 77 Metro Atl (#10t)
Savannah St 12-40 . . 288 76 MEAC (9, Southern #5)
Southern 10-31 . . 296 76 SWAC (8, West #4)
Alcorn St 13-36 . . 292 75 SWAC (6, East #3)
UMES 16-32 . . 294 73 MEAC (7, North #4)
Mount St. Mary's 11-37 . . 289 73 Northeast (#7)
Prairie View A&M 8-32 . . 298 73 SWAC (9, West #5)
Alabama A&M 12-44 . . 297 72 SWAC (7, East #4)
St. Peter's 10-42 . . 295 72 Metro Atl (#10t)
Delaware St 13-27 . . 291 71 MEAC (4, North #2)
Coppin St 14-38 . . 299 68 MEAC (6, North #3)
Miss Valley St 4-34 . . 300 67 SWAC (10, East #5)
---------------
X - denotes team with Boyd's computer ranking above the 113.35
median for regional tournament teams. The lowest ISR of an
at-large team was 110.2.
* - denotes team with a higher pseudo-RPI than the natural cutoff
for a 64-team tournament after automatic bids are used up [46].
==== =============== ====== ======= == == === === == ===============