NCAA Baseball
Regional Results
2012

Current status: Super Regionals completed, on to the CWS.

New readers should consult a separate page that gives some general background information on the records, polls, RPI, ISR, etc information included in the table below. (An "N" indicates a "national" seed.) As usual, the polls and data are from from Monday, 28 May 2012, when the regional pairings and seedings were announced. Again, many thanks to Boyd Nation for the pseudo-RPI and ISR information generated from his database. We also have the official NCAA RPI available but that information is still only used in my discussion area.

The average (mean) ISR for the field is 112.4, plus or minus a standard deviation of 8.1.
The median ISR is 113.2.

The highest pseudo-RPI ranking without a bid was Maryland (30), excluding Arizona State (16) because they are on probation. The lowest pseudo-RPI with an at-large bid was Indiana State (49), followed by Michigan State (45) and College of Charleston (43). The highest ISR without a bid was Gonzaga (115.9) and Cal Poly (115.5), again excluding Arizona State (120.7). The lowest ISR with an at-large bid was Louisville (110.6), just behind Michigan State (110.9) and College of Charleston (111.3).

Note: The NCAA identified the regions only by location, so the region numbering scheme is my own creation, reflecting the seeding of the associated super regional and identifying which of the two paired regionals has a top-8 nationally seeded team. The regional names are also my own, carrying on a tradition started by Craig Gowens (aka the perpetual "Commissioner of the SWC") on Usenet.

Super Regional Summary:

I order these results in almost the same way the NCAA does (they use 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3), reflecting the pairings in the CWS brackets.


       Super Regional 1:    N.C. State   1   8  
                         at Florida      7   9(10)  ===>  meets 8


       Super Regional 8:    Oklahoma      0   1     
                         at S. Carolina   5   5  ===>  meets 1


       Super Regional 4:    Arkansas   1   5   1(10)  ===>  meets 5
                         at Baylor     8   4   0 


       Super Regional 5:    Kent St   7   2   3  ===>  meets 4
                         at Oregon    6   3   2


            ==========================

       Super Regional 2:    TCU    2   1     
                         at UCLA   6   4  ===>  meets 7


       Super Regional 7:    Stony Brook   4      3    7  ===> meets 2
                         at LSU           5(12)  1    2


       Super Regional 3:    Stanford      1    7  
                         at Florida St   17   18  ===>  meets 6


       Super Regional 6:    St. John's   6       4  
                         at Arizona      7(10)   7  ===>  meets 3


            ==========================

Complete Results:

Note: All series start on Friday, 1 June. The order here is by national seed, not by future CWS pairing (which is the 1-8, 5-4, 2-7, 6-3 order used in NCAA brackets) or the seemingly random order resulting from alphabetizing them by the host city.


                       NCAA  Record   Polls  Boyd Nation
 Seed Team            Result W  L  T  CB BA   RPI   ISR   etc....
 ==== =============== ====== =======  == ==   ===   ===   =============== 

   Region 1 [Swamp] - Gainesville, FL
   ----------------   ---------------
 N1 * Florida         WW W   42-18     3  1     1   123   SEC (East-t2)
  2   Georgia Tech    WLWL   36-24    30 --    24   114   ACC champ (Coast#4)
  3   Col.Charleston  LWL    37-20     .  .    43   111   Southern (t1)
  4   Bethune-Cookman LL     34-25     .  .   184    96   MEAC champ (2,South#1)

Florida pitcher Jonathon Crawford pitched a complete game no-hitter against Bethune-Cookman. 
He faced the minimum 27, giving up a BB who was CS, with 5 K and solid defense behind him. 
This was only the 7th no hitter in tournament history, the first since Burke (also UF) in 1991.  

   Region 1a [South II] - Raleigh, NC
   --------------------   -----------
  1 * N.C. State      WLWWW  39-17    15 18    10   119   ACC (Atl#2)
  2   Vanderbilt      WW LL  33-26    28 22    25   115   SEC (East#4)
  3   UNC-Wilmington  LWL    38-21     .  .    41   109   Colonial champ (#1)
  4   Sacred Heart    LL     25-30     .  .   214    88   Northeast champ (t3)

     ===>   Super Regional 1:    N.C. State   1   8  
                              at Florida      7   9(10)  ===>  meets 8

            ==========================

   Region 2 [Pacific I] - Los Angeles, CA 
   --------------------   ---------------
 N1 * UCLA            WW W   42-14     7  2     2   128   Pac-12 (#2,t1)
  4   Creighton       LWWL   26-28     .  .   148   103   Mo Valley champ (#8)
  3   New Mexico      WLL    36-22    26 --    57   114   Mtn West champ (t1)
  2   San Diego       LL     40-15    27 --    33   119   West Coast (#2)

  Region 2a [Central II] - College Station, TX
  ----------------------   -------------------
  2 * TCU             LWWWW  36-19     .  .    37   115   Mtn West (t1)
  3   Mississippi     WW LL  35-24     .  .    26   114   SEC (West#4)
  1   Texas A&M       WLL    42-16    11  9    13   119   Big 12 (#2)
  4   Dayton          LL     31-28     .  .   187    96   Atl 10 champ (t1)

     ===>   Super Regional 2:    TCU    2   1     
                              at UCLA   6   4  ===>  meets 7

            ==========================

   Region 3 [South I] - Tallahassee, FL
   ------------------   ---------------
 N1 * Florida St      WW W   43-15     4  5     3   122   ACC (Atl#1)
  3   Samford         WLWL   39-21     .  .    47   112   Southern champ (#4)
  2   Miss. St        LWL    39-22    17 14    21   116   SEC champ (West-t2)
  4   UAB             LL     32-28     .  .   102   105   Conf USA champ (#7)

   Region 3a [Pacific II] - Palo Alto, CA
   ----------------------   -------------
  1 * Stanford        WW W   38-16    12 19    15   124   Pac-12 (t4)
  2   Pepperdine      WLWL   34-21    -- 24    29   116   West Coast champ (#1)
  4   Fresno St       LWL    30-26     .  .    78   109   WAC champ (#5)
  3   Michigan St     LL     37-21     .  .    45   111   Big Ten (#5)

     ===>   Super Regional 3:    Stanford      1    7  
                              at Florida St   17   18  ===>  meets 6

            ==========================

   Region 4 [Central I] - Waco, TX
   --------------------   --------
 N1 * Baylor          LWWWW  44-14     5  4     4   124   Big 12 (#1)
  2   Dallas Baptist  WW LL  39-17     .  .    23   116   Independent (#1)
  4   Oral Roberts    WLL    37-23     .  .    98   105   Summit champ (#1)
  3   Tx-Arlingtion   LL     36-23     .  .    53   111   Southland champ (t3)

   Region 4a [Bayou II] - Houston, TX
   --------------------   -----------
  2 * Arkansas        WW W   39-19    19 --    19   118   SEC (West-t2)
  3   Sam Houston St  LWWL   38-20     .  .    51   113   Southland (#1)
  1   Rice            WLL    40-17     9  8    17   118   Conf USA (#1)
  4   Prairie View    LL     28-23     .  .   224    92   SWAC champ (West#2)

     ===>   Super Regional 4:    Arkansas   1   5   1(10)  ===>  meets 5
                              at Baylor     8   4   0  

            ==========================

   Region 5 [Northwest] - Eugene, OR
   --------------------   ----------
 N1 * Oregon          WW W   42-17    10 10     6   124   Pac-12 (#3)
  4   Austin Peay     LWWL   38-22     .  .   123   104   Ohio Valley champ (t1)
  2   CSU,Fullerton   WLL    35-19    14 12    20   119   Big West champ (#1)
  3   Indiana St      LL     41-17     .  .    49   113   Mo Valley (#1)

   Region 5a [Midwest] - Gary, IN (not West Lafayette)  
   -------------------   --------
  3 * Kent State      WW W   41-17    25 --    75   109   MAC champ (East#1)
  2   Kentucky        LWWL   43-16    13 11    18   118   SEC (East-t2)
  1   Purdue          WLL    44-12    16 15     9   120   Big Ten champ (#1)
  4   Valpariso       LL     35-23     .  .   142   101   Horizon champ (#1)

KSU  010 300 010 000 000 001 001 - 7 20 1   wins after 21 innings in Friday's opener
UK   002 010 101 000 000 001 000 - 6 18 1   the loser went 9 innings in relief

This is the longest tournament game since Texas took 25 to beat Boston College in 2009

     ===>   Super Regional 5:    Kent St   7   2   3  ===>  meets 4
                              at Oregon    6   3   2  

            ==========================

   Region 6 [East] - Chapel Hill, NC    
   ---------------   ---------------
  3 * St. John's (NY) WW W   37-21    29 --    46   108   Big East champ (t1)
 N1   N. Carolina     WLWL   44-14     6  6     5   122   ACC (Coast#1)
  2   E. Carolina     LWL    35-22-1   .  .    32   112   Conf USA (#6)
  4   Cornell         LL     31-15-1   .  .   125   101   Ivy champ (Gehrig#1)

  Region 6a [Mountain] - Tucson, AZ
  --------------------   ----------
  1 * Arizona         WW W   38-17     8 13    14   121   Pac-12 champ (#1,t1)
  3   Louisville      WLWL   39-20     .  .    42   111   Big East (t1)
  4   Missouri        LWL    32-26     .  .    74   109   Big 12 champ (#6)
  2   New Mexico St   LL     35-22     .  .    34   112   WAC (#1)

     ===>   Super Regional 6:    St. John's   6       4  
                              at Arizona      7(10)   7  ===>  meets 3

            ==========================

   Region 7 [Bayou I] - Baton Rouge, LA 
   ------------------   ---------------
 N1 * LSU             WW W   43-16     1  3     8   120   SEC (1,West#1)
  2   Oregon St       WLWL   38-18    18 16    27   121   Pac-12 (t4)
  4   LA-Monroe       LWL    31-28     .  .   118   105   Sun Belt champ (t4)
  3   Belmont         LL     39-22     .  .    63   109   Atl Sun champ (#1)

   Region 7a [Atlantic] - Coral Gables, FL
   --------------------   ----------------
  4 * Stony Brook     WLWWW  46-11    -- 25    87   108   Amer East champ (#1)
  2   Central Fla     WW LL  43-15    21 20    22   115   Conf USA (#2)
  3   Missouri St     LWL    39-20     .  .    35   114   Mo Valley (#2)
  1   Miami (FL)      LL     36-21    22 23    12   116   ACC (Coast#3)

     ===>   Super Regional 7:    Stony Brook   4      3    7  ===> meets 2
                              at LSU           5(12)  1    2 

            ==========================

   Region 8 [Southeast] - Columbia, SC
   --------------------   ------------
 N1 * S. Carolina     WW W   40-17     2  7    11   120   SEC (2,East#1)
  2   Clemson         WLWL   33-26     .  .    31   113   ACC (Atl#3)
  3   Coastal Carol.  LWL    41-17     .  .    39   111   Big South champ (#1)
  4   Manhattan       LL     33-25     .  .   139    99   Metro Atl champ (#1)

   Region 8a [Northeast] - Charlottesville, VA
   ---------------------   -------------------
  2 * Oklahoma        LWWWW  38-22    23 --    28   114   Big 12 (#4)
  3   Appalachian St  WW LL  39-16     .  .    40   113   Southern (t1)
  1   Virginia        WLL    38-17-1  24 17     7   118   ACC (Coast#2)
  4   Army            LL     41-13     .  .   115   102   Patriot champ (#1)

     ===>   Super Regional 8:    Oklahoma      0   1     
                              at S. Carolina   5   5  ===>  meets 1

            ==========================

Related information:

In addition, I include the usual list of "bridesmaid" teams. Several of these were obvious, others stood out in Boyd's rankings, and some were picked to provide perspective. There are none missing with an ISR of 114 or above.

Decisive criteria listed by the NCAA selection committee in the past have included strength of non-conference schedule and performance in the conference tournament in addition to the overall season performance numbers we tabulate here.

Examination of past tournaments suggested that conference finish was undoubtedly the reason every team with a pseudo-RPI high enough to make the field strictly by the numbers (those marked with an "*") was left out by the committee. This is clearly the case for Maryland, Virginia Tech, and Wake Forest, all of which finished below 0.500 for the season in the ACC. (So did Georgia Tech, but it won the conference tournament.) Wichita State (3rd in the Mo Valley conference) lost out to Michigan State (2nd in Big Ten), Indiana State (1st in Mo Valley), Louisville (1st in Big East), and Appalachian State (tied for 1st in the Southern).


... RPI commentary ...

Arizona State was excluded as part of their NCAA punishment in December 2010 for major violations that occurred in the 2007 season but were not detected and prosecuted until much later.

Utah Valley did not earn an automatic bid because the Great West conference is only playing baseball for its third season (having expanded from football to all sports in 2008, but not including baseball until the 2009-2010 season). I believe that conference will be eligible for a bid next year. It is notable that Utah Valley increased their RPI from 210 (ISR of 98) to 69 (ISR of 111) in the past year but are still behind well-known teams from the past (such as Long Beach State, Texas, South Florida, Texas Tech, Georgia) that also did not get a bid this year.


   Overlooked ?   (ordered by ISR, records may not be accurate) 
   ----------

                             Record   Polls  Boyd Nation
 Seed Team                   W  L  T  CB BA   RPI   ISR   etc....
 ==== =============== ...... =======  == ==   ===   ===   ===============
  X*  Arizona St      ..     36-20    20 21    16   121   Pac-12 (t4, ineligible)
  X   Gonzaga         ..     34-22     .  .    48   116   West Coast (t3)
  X   Cal Poly               36-20     .  .    65   116   Big West (#2)
  X   Washington      ..     30-25     .  .    58   114   Pac-12 (#7)
  X   California             29-25     .  .    61   114   Pac-12 (#8)
  *   Wake Forest     ..     33-24     .  .    38   113   ACC (Atl#4)
  *   Va. Tech        ..     34-21     .  .    36   112   ACC (Coast#5)
      Texas           ..     30-22     .  .    50   112   Big 12 (#3)
      Southeastern LA ..     39-21     .  .    59   112   Southland (#2)
  *   Maryland        ..     32-24     .  .    30   111   ACC (Atl#5)
      Utah Valley     ..     47-12     .  .    69   111   Great West champ (#1)
      Wichita St      ..     35-25     .  .    44   110   Mo Valley (#3)
      Auburn          ..     31-28     .  .    54   110   SEC (West#5)
      Georgia         ..     31-26     .  .    56   110   SEC (East#5)
      Illinois St     ..     33-19     .  .    55   109   Mo Valley (#4)
      Elon            ..     33-26     .  .    52   108   Southern (#3)
      Stetson         ..     35-23     .  .    60   107   Atl Sun (t4)

      UT Pan Am              30-22     .  .   228    92   Great West (t2)
      NJ Tech                25-27     .  .   256    87   Great West (t2)
      Longwood               27-21     .  .   252    87   Independent (#2)

      Alabama St             20-36     .  .   267    85   SWAC (East-t2)
      NC Central             19-32     .  .   281    77   MEAC (South#2)

      Brown                   9-35     .  .   290    80   Ivy (Rolfe#3)
      UM-Balt County         10-42     .  .   291    73   America East (#6)
      UM-Eastern Shore       14-39     .  .   292    69   MEAC (North#3)
      Chicago St             13-40     .  .   293    73   Great West (#7)
      Florida A&M             7-45     .  .   294    69   MEAC (South#5)
      NY Tech                 5-46     .  .   295    68   Great West (#8)
      Alabama A&M             8-42     .  .   296    68   SWAC (East#5)
      Coppin St               1-53     .  .   297    57   MEAC (North#4)

 ---------------

  X - denotes team with Boyd's computer ranking above the 113.2 
      median for regional tournament teams.  The lowest ISR of an 
      at-large team was 110.6.

  * - denotes team with a higher pseudo-RPI than the natural cutoff 
      for a 64-team tournament after automatic bids are used up [42]. 

 ==== =============== ====== =======  == ==  === ===  ==  ===============